{
 "generated": "2026-10-20T21:44:28",
 "asof": "2026-10-24",
 "label": "final",
 "n_sims": 20000,
 "races": [
  {
   "id": "kraj-za",
   "name": "Žilinský samosprávny kraj",
   "office": "predseda VUC",
   "group": "kraj",
   "voters": 563965,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Erika Jurinová",
    "since": 2017,
    "party_2022": "OĽANO-NOVA-KÚ-ZMENA ZDOLA, SME RODINA, ZA ĽUDÍ, DS, ODS, ŠANCA, OKS, SaS",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 48.75,
     "registered_voters": 563965,
     "voters_participated": 274917,
     "valid_votes": 249830,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Erika Jurinová",
       "party": "OĽANO-NOVA-KÚ-ZMENA ZDOLA, SME RODINA, ZA ĽUDÍ, DS, ODS, ŠANCA, OKS, SaS",
       "votes": 80049,
       "pct": 32.04
      },
      {
       "name": "Igor Choma",
       "party": "SMER-SD",
       "votes": 55571,
       "pct": 22.24
      },
      {
       "name": "Igor Janckulík",
       "party": "KDH, DOBRÁ VOĽBA a Umiernení, SNS",
       "votes": 52914,
       "pct": 21.18
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Slyško",
       "party": "HLAS-SD",
       "votes": 17564,
       "pct": 7.03
      },
      {
       "name": "Katarína Boková",
       "party": "Slovenské Hnutie Obrody",
       "votes": 11131,
       "pct": 4.46
      },
      {
       "name": "Marián Murín",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 9852,
       "pct": 3.94
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Urban",
       "party": "REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 7137,
       "pct": 2.86
      },
      {
       "name": "František Drozd",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 6626,
       "pct": 2.65
      },
      {
       "name": "Andrea Starinská",
       "party": "NK/NEKA",
       "votes": 5203,
       "pct": 2.08
      },
      {
       "name": "Daniela Zemanová",
       "party": "Hnutie ONÁS",
       "votes": 3783,
       "pct": 1.51
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/files/OSK2022_SK_csv.zip",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for predseda (P_HL_PRE), aggregated from SU SR precinct CSV (tab02bd/tab06d); pct = votes/valid_votes. Withdrawn candidates (X) remain in SU SR tables with their votes. Cross-check: https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2022"
    },
    "2017": {
     "turnout_pct": 33.84,
     "registered_voters": 568708,
     "voters_participated": 192459,
     "valid_votes": 187820,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Erika Jurinová",
       "party": "KDH, NOVA, OKS, OĽANO, SaS",
       "votes": 82034,
       "pct": 43.67
      },
      {
       "name": "Juraj Blanár",
       "party": "SMER-SD",
       "votes": 55931,
       "pct": 29.77
      },
      {
       "name": "Marián Murín",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 19425,
       "pct": 10.34
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Sagan",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 14323,
       "pct": 7.62
      },
      {
       "name": "Anton Martvoň",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 6615,
       "pct": 3.52
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Mikolaj",
       "party": "SNS",
       "votes": 5010,
       "pct": 2.66
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Cibulka",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2921,
       "pct": 1.55
      },
      {
       "name": "Stanislav Pirošík",
       "party": "KSS, VZDOR",
       "votes": 946,
       "pct": 0.5
      },
      {
       "name": "Kristián Hoffmann",
       "party": "SZS",
       "votes": 615,
       "pct": 0.32,
       "note": "withdrew (SU SR poznamka 0)"
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/files/OSK_2017_xlsx.zip",
     "note": "Official SU SR tab02a (summary) and tab06b (chair results by kraj). Candidates marked withdrawn (poznamka 0) flagged. Cross-check: https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017"
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "AKO",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-16",
     "n": null,
     "sponsor": "JOJ 24",
     "results": {
      "Erika Jurinová": 48.5,
      "Igor Choma": 17.3,
      "Anna Belousovová": 14.3,
      "Martin Kapitulík": 11.8,
      "Adam Lučanský": 6.2,
      "Jana Chlustinová": 1.2,
      "Milan Pova": 0.7
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://joj24.noviny.sk/prieskumy/1265252-volebny-prieskum-joj-24-v-zilinskom-kraji-jedno-meno-ziskalo-takmer-polovicu-volicov",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "SANEP (for Kanal1)",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-01",
     "n": 1050,
     "sponsor": null,
     "results": {
      "Erika Jurinová": 35.4,
      "Igor Choma": 31.2,
      "Martin Kapitulík": 21.3,
      "Anna Belousovová": 10.1,
      "Milan Pova": 1.1,
      "Jana Chlustinová": 0.9
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://kanal1.sk/exkluzivny-prieskum-pre-kanal1-kto-by-vyhral-volby-v-zilinskom-kraji-keby-sa-konali-dnes-vyzera-to-na-tesny-suboj-dvoch-kandidatov/",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "unknown agency (for ta3)",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-17",
     "n": null,
     "sponsor": null,
     "results": {
      "Erika Jurinová": 31.1,
      "Igor Choma": 29.3,
      "Martin Kapitulík": 21.1,
      "Anna Belousovová": 7.4,
      "Adam Lučanský": 6.3,
      "Milan Pova": 2.9,
      "Jana Chlustinová": 1.9
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.ta3.com/clanok/1071773/prieskum-pre-ta3-o-kreslo-zupana-v-zilinskom-kraji-moze-byt-este-velka-bitka-do-hry-vstupuje-aj-treti-kandidat",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Erika Jurinová": 1.15,
      "Martin Kapitulík": 5.5,
      "Igor Choma": 6.0,
      "Jana Chlustinová": 88.0,
      "Milan Pova": 88.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Erika Jurinová": 1.12,
      "Martin Kapitulík": 6.0,
      "Igor Choma": 7.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Erika Jurinová": 1.1,
      "Martin Kapitulík": 5.5,
      "Igor Choma": 7.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.829,
    "poll_sd": 0.064,
    "n_polls": 3
   },
   "notes": "Úradujúca predsedníčka Erika Jurinová vyhrala v rokoch 2017 (43,67 %) a 2022 (32,04 %) a nominuje ju široká opozičná koalícia vrátane PS, SaS, KDH a Demokratov. Hlavný vyzývateľ Igor Choma (Smer, Hlas, DOMOV-NS) bol v roku 2022 druhý s 22,24 %. V jeho prospech odstúpil Adam Lučanský (SNS) a 15. októbra odstúpila Anna Belousovová (Republika), aby nedelila hlasy proti Jurinovej. Septembrový prieskum AKO dával Jurinovej 48,5 %, Chomovi 17,3 %, Belousovovej 14,3 % a nezávislému Martinovi Kapitulíkovi 11,8 %. Stávkové kancelárie dávajú na Jurinovú kurz 1,10 až 1,15.",
   "sources": [
    "https://joj24.noviny.sk/prieskumy/1265252-volebny-prieskum-joj-24-v-zilinskom-kraji-jedno-meno-ziskalo-takmer-polovicu-volicov",
    "https://spravy.stvr.sk/volby-2026/volby-do-vuc/?kraj=SK5",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/files/OSK_2017_xlsx.zip",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/files/OSK2022_SK_csv.zip"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [
    {
     "name": "Anna Belousovová",
     "transfer_to": "Igor Choma"
    },
    {
     "name": "Adam Lučanský",
     "transfer_to": "Igor Choma"
    }
   ],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Erika Jurinová",
     "party": "Demokrati, DS-ODS, Hnutie SLOVENSKO, KDH, Konzervatívci, NOVA, OKS, Progresívne Slovensko, SaS, ZA ĽUDÍ",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 45.8,
     "mean": 45.9,
     "lo80": 30.0,
     "hi80": 61.9,
     "p_win": 0.8145,
     "p_win_blind": 0.7141,
     "p_win_market": 0.8476,
     "fund_share": 70.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.8862,
     "swing": 1.101,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.3204
    },
    {
     "name": "Igor Choma",
     "party": "DOMOV-NS, HLAS - sociálna demokracia, SMER - SD",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 31.6,
     "mean": 32.6,
     "lo80": 19.0,
     "hi80": 47.6,
     "p_win": 0.1445,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2684,
     "p_win_market": 0.0672,
     "fund_share": 12.0,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0911,
     "swing": 0.941,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.2224
    },
    {
     "name": "Martin Kapitulík",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 16.8,
     "mean": 17.8,
     "lo80": 9.9,
     "hi80": 27.1,
     "p_win": 0.0401,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0175,
     "p_win_market": 0.0839,
     "fund_share": 4.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0126,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Milan Pova",
     "party": "KSS",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 1.7,
     "mean": 1.9,
     "lo80": 1.0,
     "hi80": 3.1,
     "p_win": 0.0005,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0019,
     "fund_share": 2.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0046,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Jana Chlustinová",
     "party": "SLOVEXIT",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 1.6,
     "mean": 1.7,
     "lo80": 0.9,
     "hi80": 2.8,
     "p_win": 0.0005,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0019,
     "fund_share": 2.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0056,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "kraj-bb",
   "name": "Banskobystrický samosprávny kraj",
   "office": "predseda VUC",
   "group": "kraj",
   "voters": 511603,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Ondrej Lunter",
    "since": 2022,
    "party_2022": "NEKA (supported by SaS, KDH, PS, SPOLU, OKS, Aliancia, Hlas-SD)",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 45.14,
     "registered_voters": 511603,
     "voters_participated": 230932,
     "valid_votes": 202879,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Ondrej Lunter",
       "party": "NEKA (podpora SaS, KDH, PS, SPOLU, OKS, Aliancia, Hlas-SD)",
       "votes": 96438,
       "pct": 47.53
      },
      {
       "name": "Adrian Polóny",
       "party": "NEKA (podpora SMER-SD, SNS, SMS, PSN)",
       "votes": 30436,
       "pct": 15.0
      },
      {
       "name": "Rudolf Huliak",
       "party": "NK/NEKA",
       "votes": 23236,
       "pct": 11.45
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Suja",
       "party": "REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 19130,
       "pct": 9.43
      },
      {
       "name": "Marek Kotleba",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 14417,
       "pct": 7.11
      },
      {
       "name": "Michal Albert",
       "party": "KSS",
       "votes": 7102,
       "pct": 3.5
      },
      {
       "name": "Maroš Čupka",
       "party": "Socialisti.sk",
       "votes": 4800,
       "pct": 2.37
      },
      {
       "name": "Marek Modranský",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 4749,
       "pct": 2.34,
       "note": "withdrew 2022-10-18 in favour of Polóny; still printed/counted in SU SR table"
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Sásik",
       "party": "Slovenská ľudová strana (SĽS)",
       "votes": 2571,
       "pct": 1.27
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/files/OSK2022_SK_csv.zip",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for predseda (P_HL_PRE), aggregated from SU SR precinct CSV (tab02bd/tab06d); pct = votes/valid_votes. Withdrawn candidates (X) remain in SU SR tables with their votes. Party endorsements from https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2022"
    },
    "2017": {
     "turnout_pct": 40.29,
     "registered_voters": 526978,
     "voters_participated": 212360,
     "valid_votes": 204321,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Ján Lunter",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 99169,
       "pct": 48.53
      },
      {
       "name": "Marian Kotleba",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 47502,
       "pct": 23.24
      },
      {
       "name": "Igor Kašper",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 21741,
       "pct": 10.64
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Juhaniak",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 19785,
       "pct": 9.68
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Urbáni",
       "party": "SMS",
       "votes": 2478,
       "pct": 1.21
      },
      {
       "name": "Pavel Greksa",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2271,
       "pct": 1.11
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Klus",
       "party": "KDH, NOVA, OKS, OĽANO, SaS",
       "votes": 1877,
       "pct": 0.91,
       "note": "withdrew"
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Šimko",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1698,
       "pct": 0.83,
       "note": "withdrew"
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Gálik",
       "party": "NaS - ns",
       "votes": 1632,
       "pct": 0.79
      },
      {
       "name": "Vojtech Kökény",
       "party": "SRK",
       "votes": 1563,
       "pct": 0.76
      },
      {
       "name": "Stanislav Mičev",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1130,
       "pct": 0.55,
       "note": "withdrew"
      },
      {
       "name": "Viliam Baňák",
       "party": "JEDNOTA-ĽSS",
       "votes": 997,
       "pct": 0.48,
       "note": "withdrew"
      },
      {
       "name": "Michal Kantor",
       "party": "SZS",
       "votes": 725,
       "pct": 0.35
      },
      {
       "name": "Ivan Saktor",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 589,
       "pct": 0.28,
       "note": "withdrew"
      },
      {
       "name": "Alena Pivovarčiová",
       "party": "NP",
       "votes": 553,
       "pct": 0.27
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Sásik",
       "party": "SĽS",
       "votes": 392,
       "pct": 0.19
      },
      {
       "name": "Zdenek Očovan",
       "party": "NAJ",
       "votes": 219,
       "pct": 0.1,
       "note": "withdrew"
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/files/OSK_2017_xlsx.zip",
     "note": "Official SU SR tab02a (summary) and tab06b (chair results by kraj). Candidates marked withdrawn (poznamka 0) flagged. Marek Mališ (Strana zelených) withdrew before ballot printing per https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017"
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "AKO",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-16",
     "n": null,
     "sponsor": "JOJ 24",
     "results": {
      "Ondrej Lunter": 63.2,
      "Miroslav Suja": 16.8,
      "Marian Kotleba": 8.6,
      "Roman Malatinec": 8.5,
      "Jaroslav Rusina": 2.0,
      "Michal Albert": 0.6,
      "Peter Plančík": 0.3
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://joj24.noviny.sk/prieskumy/1266317-kde-ma-lunter-najsilnejsiu-podporu-a-kde-suja-prieskum-joj-24-odhalil-velke-rozdiely-medzi-okresmi",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Ondrej Lunter": 1.01,
      "Miroslav Suja": 17.0,
      "Michal Albert": 35.0,
      "Roman Malatinec": 35.0,
      "Marian Kotleba": 88.0,
      "Peter Plančík": 100.0,
      "Jaroslav Rusina": 100.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Ondrej Lunter": 1.01,
      "Miroslav Suja": 15.0,
      "Roman Malatinec": 30.0,
      "Michal Albert": 30.0,
      "Marian Kotleba": 80.0,
      "Jaroslav Rusina": 100.0,
      "Peter Plančík": 100.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Ondrej Lunter": 1.01,
      "Miroslav Suja": 15.0,
      "Roman Malatinec": 20.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.697,
    "poll_sd": 0.092,
    "n_polls": 1
   },
   "notes": "Úradujúci predseda Ondrej Lunter vyhral v roku 2022 so 47,53 %. Kandiduje ako nezávislý s podporou SaS, Aliancie, Hlasu, KDH, PS a Demokratov; Smer ani SNS kandidáta nenominovali. Prieskum AKO pre JOJ 24 mu dáva 63,2 % rozhodnutých voličov, Miroslavovi Sujovi (Republika) 16,8 %, Marianovi Kotlebovi (ĽSNS) 8,6 % a Romanovi Malatincovi (Strana vidieka) 8,5 %. Suja je spájaný s kauzou techniky za 1 euro z obdobia Kotlebu, vinu popiera. Stávkové kancelárie dávajú na Luntera kurz 1,01.",
   "sources": [
    "https://my.sme.sk/banska-bystrica/c/kandidati-na-zupana-banskobystricky-kraj-2026-kompletny-zoznam-a-profily-vuc-volby-2026",
    "https://spravy.stvr.sk/volby-2026/volby-do-vuc/?kraj=SK6",
    "https://volby.sme.sk/volby-vuc/2026/kandidati/banskobystricky-kraj",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/files/OSK_2017_xlsx.zip",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/files/OSK2022_SK_csv.zip",
    "https://www.pravda.sk/spravy/regionalne-volby-2026/clanok/2053855-bitka-o-banskobystricku-zupu-do-ringu-vstupuje-lunter-malatinec-suja-kotleba-albert-plancik-a-rusina"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Ondrej Lunter",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 57.1,
     "mean": 56.6,
     "lo80": 38.5,
     "hi80": 73.9,
     "p_win": 0.9736,
     "p_win_blind": 0.9496,
     "p_win_market": 0.9834,
     "fund_share": 42.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.6864,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.4753
    },
    {
     "name": "Miroslav Suja",
     "party": "Republika",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 16.5,
     "mean": 18.2,
     "lo80": 7.9,
     "hi80": 30.8,
     "p_win": 0.0214,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0462,
     "p_win_market": 0.0097,
     "fund_share": 14.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1837,
     "swing": 0.759,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0943
    },
    {
     "name": "Marian Kotleba",
     "party": "Kotlebovci - Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 7.2,
     "mean": 8.3,
     "lo80": 3.3,
     "hi80": 14.6,
     "p_win": 0.0011,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0022,
     "p_win_market": 0.0006,
     "fund_share": 4.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0185,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Roman Malatinec",
     "party": "Strana vidieka",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 7.1,
     "mean": 8.2,
     "lo80": 3.3,
     "hi80": 14.5,
     "p_win": 0.0029,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0021,
     "p_win_market": 0.004,
     "fund_share": 4.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.021,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Jaroslav Rusina",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 3.7,
     "mean": 4.4,
     "lo80": 1.7,
     "hi80": 7.9,
     "p_win": 0.0002,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0004,
     "fund_share": 6.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0515,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Michal Albert",
     "party": "Bratia Slovenska",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 1.9,
     "mean": 2.2,
     "lo80": 0.9,
     "hi80": 4.0,
     "p_win": 0.0005,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0029,
     "fund_share": 4.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0168,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.035
    },
    {
     "name": "Peter Plančík",
     "party": "Komunistická strana Slovenska",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 1.8,
     "mean": 2.1,
     "lo80": 0.8,
     "hi80": 3.7,
     "p_win": 0.0002,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0004,
     "fund_share": 4.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0221,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "kraj-po",
   "name": "Prešovský samosprávny kraj",
   "office": "predseda VUC",
   "group": "kraj",
   "voters": 636834,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Milan Majerský",
    "since": 2017,
    "party_2022": "KDH, SME RODINA, SaS, ZA ĽUDÍ",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 47.5,
     "registered_voters": 636834,
     "voters_participated": 302512,
     "valid_votes": 265012,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Milan Majerský",
       "party": "KDH, SME RODINA, SaS, ZA ĽUDÍ",
       "votes": 111343,
       "pct": 42.01
      },
      {
       "name": "Michal Kaliňák",
       "party": "HLAS-SD, SMER-SD, SNS, ALIANCIA",
       "votes": 83205,
       "pct": 31.4
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Mazurek",
       "party": "REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 28834,
       "pct": 10.88
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Bync",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 11921,
       "pct": 4.5
      },
      {
       "name": "Michal Biganič",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 8634,
       "pct": 3.26
      },
      {
       "name": "Filip Kuffa",
       "party": "ŽIVOT",
       "votes": 6689,
       "pct": 2.52
      },
      {
       "name": "Patrícia Reváková",
       "party": "NK/NEKA",
       "votes": 6679,
       "pct": 2.52
      },
      {
       "name": "Ingrid Tomková",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 3788,
       "pct": 1.43
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Mihalčin",
       "party": "SRDCE - SNJ - sv",
       "votes": 2088,
       "pct": 0.79,
       "note": "withdrew"
      },
      {
       "name": "Ľubomír Goliaš",
       "party": "Hnutie ONÁS",
       "votes": 1831,
       "pct": 0.69,
       "note": "withdrew"
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/files/OSK2022_SK_csv.zip",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for predseda (P_HL_PRE), aggregated from SU SR precinct CSV (tab02bd/tab06d); pct = votes/valid_votes. Withdrawn candidates (X) remain in SU SR tables with their votes. Cross-check: https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2022"
    },
    "2017": {
     "turnout_pct": 29.4,
     "registered_voters": 639324,
     "voters_participated": 187983,
     "valid_votes": 179289,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Milan Majerský",
       "party": "KDH, NOVA, OĽANO, SaS",
       "votes": 72366,
       "pct": 40.36
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Chudík",
       "party": "SMER-SD",
       "votes": 54914,
       "pct": 30.62
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Mihalčin",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 12688,
       "pct": 7.07
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Garaj",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 10615,
       "pct": 5.92
      },
      {
       "name": "Andrej Gmitter",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 8335,
       "pct": 4.64
      },
      {
       "name": "František Oľha",
       "party": "ŠANCA",
       "votes": 5832,
       "pct": 3.25
      },
      {
       "name": "Pavol Gašper",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 4165,
       "pct": 2.32
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Škvarek",
       "party": "SNS",
       "votes": 3917,
       "pct": 2.18
      },
      {
       "name": "František Bednár",
       "party": "NAJ",
       "votes": 2598,
       "pct": 1.44
      },
      {
       "name": "Eduard Markovič",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1749,
       "pct": 0.97
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Šteiner",
       "party": "SZS",
       "votes": 1073,
       "pct": 0.59,
       "note": "withdrew"
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Šváč",
       "party": "NP",
       "votes": 1037,
       "pct": 0.57
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/files/OSK_2017_xlsx.zip",
     "note": "Official SU SR tab02a (summary) and tab06b (chair results by kraj). Candidates marked withdrawn (poznamka 0) flagged. Cross-check: https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017"
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "AKO",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-13",
     "n": 250,
     "sponsor": "JOJ 24",
     "results": {
      "Milan Majerský": 49.2,
      "Milan Mazurek": 32.4,
      "Samuel Migaľ": 7.8,
      "Marián Geci": 4.0,
      "Monika Lešková": 3.9,
      "Drahomír Čureja": 1.9,
      "Jozef Ištok": 0.6,
      "Ján Stanko": 0.3,
      "Ľubomír Goliaš": 0.0
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://joj24.noviny.sk/prieskumy/1272728-majersky-alebo-mazurek-prieskum-joj-24-ukazal-koho-by-volili-ludia-v-presovskom-kraji",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "AKO (for JOJ 24)",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-21",
     "n": null,
     "sponsor": null,
     "results": {
      "Milan Majerský": 44.8,
      "Milan Mazurek": 28.8,
      "Judita Laššáková": 6.5,
      "Samuel Migaľ": 6.2,
      "Marián Geci": 5.5,
      "Drahomír Čureja": 2.3,
      "Zoltán Kašo": 1.7,
      "Monika Lešková": 1.4,
      "Ján Stanko": 1.2,
      "Jozef Ištok": 1.2,
      "Ľubomír Goliaš": 0.4
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.infozona.sk/spravodajstvo/aktualny-prieskum-preferencii-v-presovskom-kraji-majersky-to-nema-iste-niektore-okresy-vas-prekvapia/",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Milan Majerský": 1.11,
      "Milan Mazurek": 6.0,
      "Samuel Migaľ": 14.0,
      "Jozef Ištok": 77.0,
      "Drahomír Čureja": 88.0,
      "Marián Geci": 88.0,
      "Ľubomír Goliaš": 88.0,
      "Zoltán Kašo": 88.0,
      "Ján Stanko": 88.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Milan Majerský": 1.13,
      "Milan Mazurek": 5.0,
      "Samuel Migaľ": 15.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Milan Majerský": 1.11,
      "Milan Mazurek": 6.0,
      "Samuel Migaľ": 12.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Niké",
     "date": "2026-09-03",
     "odds": {
      "Milan Majerský": 1.15,
      "Milan Mazurek": 4.0,
      "Judita Laššáková": 15.0,
      "Samuel Migaľ": 35.0
     },
     "source": "https://korzar.sme.sk/kosice/c/kurzy-otocili-poradie-favoritov-volieb-kosickeho-primatora-aj-zupana-majersky-sa-este-balit-nemusi"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.794,
    "poll_sd": 0.071,
    "n_polls": 2
   },
   "notes": "Úradujúci predseda Milan Majerský (KDH) vyhral v rokoch 2017 (40,36 %) a 2022 (42,01 %) a nominujú ho KDH, Hnutie Slovensko, SaS, Za ľudí, Konzervatívci a PS. Kandidátka Smeru Judita Laššáková odstúpila po dohode s vedením strany a Monika Lešková (SNS) odstúpila v prospech Milana Mazureka (Republika). Zoltán Kašo odstúpil v prospech ministra Samuela Migaľa, ktorý kandiduje ako nezávislý. Prieskum AKO dáva Majerskému 49,2 %, Mazurekovi 32,4 % a Migaľovi 7,8 % rozhodnutých. Stávkové kancelárie dávajú na Majerského kurz 1,11 až 1,13.",
   "sources": [
    "https://psk.sk/domov/samosprava/zpsk/volby-do-organov-samospravy/volby-2026/kandidati-na-predsedu-psk-2026/",
    "https://spravy.stvr.sk/volby-2026/volby-do-vuc/?kraj=SK7",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/files/OSK_2017_xlsx.zip",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/files/OSK2022_SK_csv.zip",
    "https://www.noviny.sk/slovensko/1271936-po-lassakovej-sa-aj-monika-leskova-vzdala-sa-kandidatury-na-post-predsednicky-psk",
    "https://www.ta3.com/clanok/1068039/presovsky-kraj-caka-suboj-jedenastich-kandidatov-na-zupanske-kreslo-si-robi-zalusk-aj-migal-mazurek-si-lassakova"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [
    {
     "name": "Zoltán Kašo",
     "transfer_to": "Samuel Migaľ"
    },
    {
     "name": "Judita Laššáková",
     "transfer_to": null
    },
    {
     "name": "Monika Lešková",
     "transfer_to": "Milan Mazurek"
    }
   ],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Milan Majerský",
     "party": "Hnutie SLOVENSKO, KDH, Konzervatívci, Progresívne Slovensko, SaS, ZA ĽUDÍ",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 52.2,
     "mean": 52.0,
     "lo80": 35.8,
     "hi80": 68.0,
     "p_win": 0.8606,
     "p_win_blind": 0.842,
     "p_win_market": 0.8535,
     "fund_share": 61.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.8964,
     "swing": 1.101,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.4201
    },
    {
     "name": "Milan Mazurek",
     "party": "REPUBLIKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 28.0,
     "mean": 28.9,
     "lo80": 16.0,
     "hi80": 43.6,
     "p_win": 0.1352,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1579,
     "p_win_market": 0.1119,
     "fund_share": 7.6,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0519,
     "swing": 0.759,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.1088
    },
    {
     "name": "Samuel Migaľ",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 6.7,
     "mean": 7.4,
     "lo80": 3.6,
     "hi80": 12.2,
     "p_win": 0.0016,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0001,
     "p_win_market": 0.0252,
     "fund_share": 3.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0124,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Marián Geci",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 4.6,
     "mean": 5.1,
     "lo80": 2.4,
     "hi80": 8.4,
     "p_win": 0.0005,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0024,
     "fund_share": 3.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0101,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Drahomír Čureja",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 2.5,
     "mean": 2.8,
     "lo80": 1.3,
     "hi80": 4.7,
     "p_win": 0.0005,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0024,
     "fund_share": 3.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0112,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Jozef Ištok",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 1.5,
     "mean": 1.7,
     "lo80": 0.8,
     "hi80": 2.9,
     "p_win": 0.0005,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0028,
     "fund_share": 3.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0107,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Ján Stanko",
     "party": "SLOVEXIT",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 1.1,
     "mean": 1.2,
     "lo80": 0.6,
     "hi80": 2.1,
     "p_win": 0.0005,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0024,
     "fund_share": 2.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0034,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Ľubomír Goliaš",
     "party": "Jednota Slovanov",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 0.6,
     "mean": 0.7,
     "lo80": 0.3,
     "hi80": 1.2,
     "p_win": 0.0005,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0024,
     "fund_share": 1.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0039,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0069
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "kraj-ke",
   "name": "Košický samosprávny kraj",
   "office": "predseda VUC",
   "group": "kraj",
   "voters": 627195,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Rastislav Trnka",
    "since": 2017,
    "party_2022": "KDH, ALIANCIA, STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI, ŠANCA, DS",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 39.7,
     "registered_voters": 627195,
     "voters_participated": 249000,
     "valid_votes": 215081,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Rastislav Trnka",
       "party": "KDH, ALIANCIA, STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI, ŠANCA, DS",
       "votes": 110362,
       "pct": 51.31
      },
      {
       "name": "Viliam Zahorčák",
       "party": "SMER-SD, SME RODINA, SNS, ŽIVOT, SMS, NK/NEKA",
       "votes": 32287,
       "pct": 15.01
      },
      {
       "name": "Róbert Suja",
       "party": "HLAS-SD",
       "votes": 15040,
       "pct": 6.99
      },
      {
       "name": "Juraj Sinay",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 14631,
       "pct": 6.8
      },
      {
       "name": "Erik Ňarjaš",
       "party": "OĽANO-NOVA-KÚ-ZMENA ZDOLA, ZA ĽUDÍ, ...",
       "votes": 11927,
       "pct": 5.55
      },
      {
       "name": "Monika Sofiya Soročinová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 10137,
       "pct": 4.71
      },
      {
       "name": "Tomáš Janco",
       "party": "REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 4855,
       "pct": 2.26
      },
      {
       "name": "Juraj Ďurove",
       "party": "Socialisti.sk",
       "votes": 3624,
       "pct": 1.68
      },
      {
       "name": "Stanislav Mizík",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 3416,
       "pct": 1.59
      },
      {
       "name": "Vladislav Stanko",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3239,
       "pct": 1.51
      },
      {
       "name": "Džemal Kodrazi",
       "party": "PRINCÍP",
       "votes": 3018,
       "pct": 1.4
      },
      {
       "name": "Ivan Hriczko",
       "party": "SIM",
       "votes": 2545,
       "pct": 1.18
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/files/OSK2022_SK_csv.zip",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for predseda (P_HL_PRE), aggregated from SU SR precinct CSV (tab02bd/tab06d); pct = votes/valid_votes. Withdrawn candidates (X) remain in SU SR tables with their votes. Cross-check: https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2022"
    },
    "2017": {
     "turnout_pct": 26.73,
     "registered_voters": 630178,
     "voters_participated": 168454,
     "valid_votes": 157651,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Rastislav Trnka",
       "party": "KDH, NOVA, OĽANO, SaS, ŠANCA",
       "votes": 59599,
       "pct": 37.8
      },
      {
       "name": "Richard Raši",
       "party": "STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI, SMER-SD, SMK-MKP, SZS",
       "votes": 58724,
       "pct": 37.24
      },
      {
       "name": "Karol Pataky",
       "party": "MOST - HÍD, SKOK - ELD",
       "votes": 14843,
       "pct": 9.41
      },
      {
       "name": "Štefan Surmánek",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 7375,
       "pct": 4.67
      },
      {
       "name": "Róbert Bačinský",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 4903,
       "pct": 3.11
      },
      {
       "name": "Jarmila Tkáčová",
       "party": "SNS",
       "votes": 3638,
       "pct": 2.3
      },
      {
       "name": "Oliver Petrík",
       "party": "JEDNOTA-ĽSS",
       "votes": 1730,
       "pct": 1.09
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Bobík",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1222,
       "pct": 0.77,
       "note": "withdrew"
      },
      {
       "name": "Lukáš Sisák",
       "party": "KSS",
       "votes": 1169,
       "pct": 0.74
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Červeňák",
       "party": "RIS",
       "votes": 1049,
       "pct": 0.66
      },
      {
       "name": "Jaroslav Džunko",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1021,
       "pct": 0.64
      },
      {
       "name": "Vladislav Stanko",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 753,
       "pct": 0.47,
       "note": "withdrew"
      },
      {
       "name": "Adam Šepetka",
       "party": "NAJ",
       "votes": 655,
       "pct": 0.41,
       "note": "withdrew"
      },
      {
       "name": "Rudolf Botka",
       "party": "NP",
       "votes": 564,
       "pct": 0.35
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Struk",
       "party": "SMS",
       "votes": 406,
       "pct": 0.25,
       "note": "withdrew"
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/files/OSK_2017_xlsx.zip",
     "note": "Official SU SR tab02a (summary) and tab06b (chair results by kraj). Candidates marked withdrawn (poznamka 0) flagged. Cross-check: https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017"
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "SANEP (for ta3)",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-18",
     "n": 950,
     "sponsor": null,
     "results": {
      "Rastislav Trnka": 38.3,
      "Marián Porvažník": 32.2,
      "Igor Šimko": 19.4,
      "Monika Sofiya Soročinová": 7.7,
      "Džemal Kodrazi": 2.4
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.pravda.sk/spravy/regionalne-volby-2026/clanok/2062305-prieskum-sanep-kto-ovladne-kosice-a-kto-zupu-novy-prieskum-odhalil-favoritov-v-hre-su-aj-tesne-suboje",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "AKO (JOJ 24)",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-12",
     "n": null,
     "results": {
      "Rastislav Trnka": 42.4,
      "Marián Porvažník": 25.7,
      "Igor Šimko": 19.7
     },
     "source": "https://joj24.noviny.sk/prieskumy/1274835-kto-ovladne-kosicky-kraj-prieskum-joj-24-ukazal-vyrazny-naskok-jedneho-z-kandidatov",
     "note": "fieldwork dates not published; Géci (withdrew 12.10) still listed, so end date set to 12.10 (assumption); only the three leaders are used"
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Rastislav Trnka": 1.75,
      "Marián Porvažník": 1.95,
      "Igor Šimko": 7.5,
      "Monika Sofiya Soročinová": 80.0,
      "Džemal Kodrazi": 500.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Rastislav Trnka": 1.8,
      "Marián Porvažník": 1.9,
      "Igor Šimko": 7.0,
      "Monika Sofiya Soročinová": 80.0,
      "Džemal Kodrazi": 400.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Rastislav Trnka": 1.65,
      "Marián Porvažník": 1.95,
      "Igor Šimko": 7.0,
      "Monika Sofiya Soročinová": 50.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Niké",
     "date": "2026-09-03",
     "odds": {
      "Marián Porvažník": 1.67,
      "Rastislav Trnka": 2.2,
      "Igor Šimko": 7.5,
      "Monika Sofiya Soročinová": 15.0
     },
     "source": "https://korzar.sme.sk/kosice/c/kurzy-otocili-poradie-favoritov-volieb-kosickeho-primatora-aj-zupana-majersky-sa-este-balit-nemusi"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.836,
    "poll_sd": 0.062,
    "n_polls": 2
   },
   "notes": "Úradujúci predseda Rastislav Trnka vyhral v roku 2022 s 51,31 % s podporou KDH a Aliancie, teraz kandiduje ako nezávislý. Opozícia vrátane KDH podporuje Mariána Porvažníka (PS), vládne strany a Republika nominujú Igora Šimka (Hlas). Prieskum AKO z 20. októbra dáva Trnkovi 42,4 %, Porvažníkovi 25,7 % a Šimkovi 19,7 % rozhodnutých. Stávkové kancelárie hodnotia Trnku a Porvažníka takmer rovnako (Tipsport 1,75 a 1,95). Trnka je obžalovaný v kauze obstarávania Valentín a vinu popiera.",
   "sources": [
    "https://spravy.stvr.sk/volby-2026/volby-do-vuc/?kraj=SK8",
    "https://static.kosice.sk/files/manual/volby/volby2026_vuc_zoznam_zaregistrovanych_predseda.pdf",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/files/OSK_2017_xlsx.zip",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/files/OSK2022_SK_csv.zip",
    "https://www.kosickazupa.sk/uradna-tabula/volby-2026"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [
    {
     "name": "Tibor Géci",
     "transfer_to": "Igor Šimko"
    }
   ],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Rastislav Trnka",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 40.0,
     "mean": 40.4,
     "lo80": 27.2,
     "hi80": 54.2,
     "p_win": 0.5889,
     "p_win_blind": 0.6981,
     "p_win_market": 0.4606,
     "fund_share": 37.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.5381,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.5131
    },
    {
     "name": "Marián Porvažník",
     "party": "Demokrati, DS-ODS, Hnutie Slovensko, KDH, OKS, Progresívne Slovensko, SaS, Za ľudí",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 27.9,
     "mean": 28.8,
     "lo80": 17.3,
     "hi80": 41.7,
     "p_win": 0.3391,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2391,
     "p_win_market": 0.4498,
     "fund_share": 18.5,
     "fund_p_win": 0.2225,
     "swing": 1.101,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Igor Šimko",
     "party": "Bratia Slovenska, Hlas-SD, Právo na pravdu, Republika, SNS, Smer-SD, STANK, Strana vidieka",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 19.2,
     "mean": 20.2,
     "lo80": 11.3,
     "hi80": 30.6,
     "p_win": 0.0705,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0626,
     "p_win_market": 0.078,
     "fund_share": 16.5,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1893,
     "swing": 1.078,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Monika Sofiya Soročinová",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 7.0,
     "mean": 7.5,
     "lo80": 4.1,
     "hi80": 11.7,
     "p_win": 0.0013,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0001,
     "p_win_market": 0.0113,
     "fund_share": 5.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0268,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0471
    },
    {
     "name": "Džemal Kodrazi",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 2.9,
     "mean": 3.1,
     "lo80": 1.6,
     "hi80": 4.9,
     "p_win": 0.0002,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0004,
     "fund_share": 5.0,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0232,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.014
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "kraj-ba",
   "name": "Bratislavský samosprávny kraj",
   "office": "predseda VUC",
   "group": "kraj",
   "voters": 604207,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Juraj Droba",
    "since": 2017,
    "party_2022": "SaS, Progresívne Slovensko, Team Bratislava",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 38.6,
     "registered_voters": 604207,
     "participating_voters": 233255,
     "valid_votes": 215351,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Juraj Droba",
       "party": "SaS, Progresívne Slovensko, Team Bratislava",
       "votes": 136983,
       "pct": 63.6
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Mažgút",
       "party": "SMER - SD, SNS",
       "votes": 28911,
       "pct": 13.42
      },
      {
       "name": "Ivan Bošňák",
       "party": "DS, ODS, SPOLU, ŠANCA",
       "votes": 18445,
       "pct": 8.56
      },
      {
       "name": "Dušan Velič",
       "party": "ZA ĽUDÍ, SME RODINA, KDH, Magyar Fórum",
       "votes": 17420,
       "pct": 8.08
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Lopašovský",
       "party": "STRANA MODERNÉHO SLOVENSKA (SMS)",
       "votes": 4449,
       "pct": 2.06
      },
      {
       "name": "Štefan Zima",
       "party": "REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 3751,
       "pct": 1.74
      },
      {
       "name": "Magdaléna Sulanová",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 2927,
       "pct": 1.35
      },
      {
       "name": "Andrej Trnovec",
       "party": "Slovenská ľudová strana (SĽS)",
       "votes": 2465,
       "pct": 1.14
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/osk/2022/OSK2022_SK_tab06a.csv",
     "source_turnout": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/sk/suhrnne_vysledky.html"
    },
    "2017": {
     "turnout_pct": 31.34,
     "registered_voters": 584995,
     "participating_voters": 183342,
     "valid_votes": 180490,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Juraj Droba",
       "party": "SaS, OĽaNO, SMK-MKP, NOVA, OKS, Zmena zdola, DÚ",
       "votes": 36864,
       "pct": 20.42
      },
      {
       "name": "Rudolf Kusý",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 33489,
       "pct": 18.55
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Ftáčnik",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 31638,
       "pct": 17.52
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Mrva",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 28842,
       "pct": 15.97
      },
      {
       "name": "Pavol Frešo",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 19640,
       "pct": 10.88
      },
      {
       "name": "Daniel Krajcer",
       "party": "MOST - HÍD, SKOK - ELD, SZ",
       "votes": 13934,
       "pct": 7.72
      },
      {
       "name": "Ľubomír Huďo",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 6063,
       "pct": 3.35
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Uhler",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3954,
       "pct": 2.19
      },
      {
       "name": "Natália Hanulíková",
       "party": "SZS",
       "votes": 1444,
       "pct": 0.8
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Jakubec",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1219,
       "pct": 0.67
      },
      {
       "name": "Lukáš Parízek",
       "party": "SNS",
       "votes": 702,
       "pct": 0.38
      },
      {
       "name": "Rastislav Blaško",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 631,
       "pct": 0.34
      },
      {
       "name": "Jalal Suleiman",
       "party": "KSS",
       "votes": 548,
       "pct": 0.3
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Danko",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 525,
       "pct": 0.29
      },
      {
       "name": "Andrej Trnovec",
       "party": "SĽS",
       "votes": 454,
       "pct": 0.25
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Lopašovský",
       "party": "SMS",
       "votes": 182,
       "pct": 0.1
      },
      {
       "name": "Marián Leinerovič",
       "party": "NP",
       "votes": 181,
       "pct": 0.1
      },
      {
       "name": "Ľubomír Kolárik",
       "party": "SZSZO",
       "votes": 180,
       "pct": 0.09
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017",
     "source_note": "Figures from SK Wikipedia (cites ŠÚ SR); ŠÚ SR 2017 page https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/sk/data01.html is JS-rendered and was not machine-readable."
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "Politologické prieskumy",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-21",
     "n": 775,
     "sponsor": null,
     "results": {
      "Juraj Droba": 49.4,
      "Zuzana Krajčovičová": 8.8,
      "Dávid Staruch": 4.8,
      "Rastislav Gajarský": 4.3,
      "Ján Chalabala": 2.4,
      "Ľudovít Líška": 1.4,
      "Peter Poláček": 0.6
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.instagram.com/p/DeG2fVMirwT/",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Juraj Droba": 1.01,
      "Zuzana Krajčovičová": 14.0,
      "Dávid Staruch": 16.0,
      "Rastislav Gajarský": 25.0,
      "Ján Chalabala": 88.0,
      "Ľudovít Líška": 88.0,
      "Peter Poláček": 88.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Juraj Droba": 1.01,
      "Zuzana Krajčovičová": 15.0,
      "Dávid Staruch": 18.0,
      "Rastislav Gajarský": 25.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Juraj Droba": 1.01,
      "Zuzana Krajčovičová": 10.0,
      "Dávid Staruch": 15.0,
      "Rastislav Gajarský": 15.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.731,
    "poll_sd": 0.085,
    "n_polls": 1
   },
   "notes": "Úradujúci predseda Juraj Droba vyhral v roku 2022 so ziskom 63,6 % a teraz ho nominujú SaS, PS, Demokrati a Team Bratislava. Vládne strany Smer, Hlas a SNS spoločne nominovali Rastislava Gajarského, ktorý mal v prieskume 4,3 %; kandidát Smeru a SNS získal v roku 2022 13,4 %. Prieskum Politologických prieskumov z 5. októbra dáva Drobovi 68,9 % rozhodnutých voličov, druhá je Zuzana Krajčovičová (Právo na pravdu, SaNK). Stávkové kancelárie dávajú na Drobu kurz 1,01.",
   "sources": [
    "https://bratislavskykraj.sk/volby-do-vuc-2026/",
    "https://bratislavskykraj.sk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/ZOZNAM-ZAREGISTROVANYCH-KANDIDATOV-pre-volby-predsedu-BSK.pdf",
    "https://hnonline.sk/volby-2026/volby-do-vuc-2026/96307631-vuc-volby-2026-bratislavsky-kraj-zoznam-kandidatov-zupan-a-poslanci",
    "https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/osk/2022/OSK2022_SK_tab06a.csv",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/pGWwtjf/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-predsedov-samospravnych-krajov-vo-volbach-do-vuc-2026/"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Juraj Droba",
     "party": "Sloboda a solidarita, Progresívne Slovensko, Demokrati, Team Bratislava",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 67.8,
     "mean": 66.7,
     "lo80": 50.4,
     "hi80": 81.4,
     "p_win": 0.991,
     "p_win_blind": 0.9957,
     "p_win_market": 0.9816,
     "fund_share": 65.5,
     "fund_p_win": 0.881,
     "swing": 0.959,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.636
    },
    {
     "name": "Zuzana Krajčovičová",
     "party": "Právo na pravdu, Starostovia a nezávislí kandidáti",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 9.2,
     "mean": 10.5,
     "lo80": 4.3,
     "hi80": 18.2,
     "p_win": 0.0049,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0027,
     "p_win_market": 0.0089,
     "fund_share": 2.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0037,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Rastislav Gajarský",
     "party": "Smer - sociálna demokracia, Hlas - sociálna demokracia, Slovenská národná strana",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 7.4,
     "mean": 8.6,
     "lo80": 3.3,
     "hi80": 15.4,
     "p_win": 0.0022,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0014,
     "p_win_market": 0.0036,
     "fund_share": 11.0,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0891,
     "swing": 0.971,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Dávid Staruch",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 6.0,
     "mean": 6.9,
     "lo80": 2.8,
     "hi80": 12.3,
     "p_win": 0.0014,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0003,
     "p_win_market": 0.0056,
     "fund_share": 4.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0165,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Ján Chalabala",
     "party": "Komunistická strana Slovenska",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 3.0,
     "mean": 3.5,
     "lo80": 1.4,
     "hi80": 6.2,
     "p_win": 0.0002,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0003,
     "fund_share": 2.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0031,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Ľudovít Líška",
     "party": "Jednota Slovanov",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 2.0,
     "mean": 2.4,
     "lo80": 0.9,
     "hi80": 4.2,
     "p_win": 0.0002,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0003,
     "fund_share": 2.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0035,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Peter Poláček",
     "party": "Slovexit",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 1.2,
     "mean": 1.5,
     "lo80": 0.6,
     "hi80": 2.6,
     "p_win": 0.0002,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0003,
     "fund_share": 2.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0032,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "kraj-tt",
   "name": "Trnavský samosprávny kraj",
   "office": "predseda VUC",
   "group": "kraj",
   "voters": 471563,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Jozef Viskupič",
    "since": 2017,
    "party_2022": "OĽANO-NOVA-KÚ-ZMENA ZDOLA, SaS, KDH, SPOLU, ŠANCA, ODS, ZA ĽUDÍ, SME RODINA, OKS, DS, Magyar Fórum",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 42.87,
     "registered_voters": 471563,
     "participating_voters": 202166,
     "valid_votes": 180834,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Jozef Viskupič",
       "party": "OĽANO-NOVA-KÚ-ZMENA ZDOLA, SaS, KDH, SPOLU, ŠANCA, ODS, ZA ĽUDÍ, SME RODINA, OKS, DS, Magyar Fórum",
       "votes": 69743,
       "pct": 38.56
      },
      {
       "name": "József Berényi",
       "party": "SZÖVETSÉG - ALIANCIA",
       "votes": 38056,
       "pct": 21.04
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Červenka",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 29157,
       "pct": 16.12
      },
      {
       "name": "Zdenko Čambal",
       "party": "SNS, SMER - SD",
       "votes": 21426,
       "pct": 11.84
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Beluský",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 8145,
       "pct": 4.5
      },
      {
       "name": "Veronika Temňáková",
       "party": "REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 4515,
       "pct": 2.49
      },
      {
       "name": "Roland Hakszer",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3129,
       "pct": 1.73
      },
      {
       "name": "Zdenko Rosina",
       "party": "NK/NEKA",
       "votes": 2631,
       "pct": 1.45
      },
      {
       "name": "Roman Chudý",
       "party": "ŽIVOT",
       "votes": 2392,
       "pct": 1.32
      },
      {
       "name": "Ivan Stanovič",
       "party": "Hnutie ONÁS",
       "votes": 1640,
       "pct": 0.9
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/osk/2022/OSK2022_SK_tab06a.csv",
     "source_turnout": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/sk/suhrnne_vysledky.html"
    },
    "2017": {
     "turnout_pct": 24.74,
     "registered_voters": 473880,
     "participating_voters": 117252,
     "valid_votes": 113229,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Jozef Viskupič",
       "party": "OĽaNO, SaS, KDH, OKS, Zmena zdola, DÚ",
       "votes": 48584,
       "pct": 42.9
      },
      {
       "name": "Tibor Mikuš",
       "party": "NEKA (supported by SMER-SD, SNS, SMS, SZS, KSS)",
       "votes": 34601,
       "pct": 30.55
      },
      {
       "name": "József Berényi",
       "party": "SMK-MKP",
       "votes": 19414,
       "pct": 17.14
      },
      {
       "name": "Konrád Rigó",
       "party": "MOST - HÍD",
       "votes": 6362,
       "pct": 5.61
      },
      {
       "name": "Márius Novák",
       "party": "NP",
       "votes": 2268,
       "pct": 2.0
      },
      {
       "name": "Jaroslav Cehlárik",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2000,
       "pct": 1.76
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017",
     "source_note": "Figures from SK Wikipedia (cites ŠÚ SR); ŠÚ SR 2017 page https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/sk/data01.html is JS-rendered and was not machine-readable."
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "AKO",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-17",
     "n": null,
     "sponsor": "JOJ 24",
     "results": {
      "Jozef Viskupič": 51.8,
      "József Berényi": 18.1,
      "Matej Lančarič": 11.7,
      "Peter Hambálek": 9.6,
      "Róbert Dohál": 5.9,
      "Jaroslav Cehlárik": 2.0,
      "Štefan Pollák": 0.9
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://joj24.noviny.sk/prieskumy/1271485-viskupic-ma-pred-zupnymi-volbami-vyrazny-naskok-prieskum-ukazal-aj-prekvapenie-na-druhom-mieste",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "Politologické prieskumy",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-25",
     "n": 701,
     "sponsor": null,
     "results": {
      "Jozef Viskupič": 35.5,
      "József Berényi": 18.5,
      "Peter Hambálek": 9.3,
      "Matej Lančarič": 4.5,
      "Róbert Dohál": 2.0,
      "Štefan Pollák": 0.8,
      "Jaroslav Cehlárik": 0.8
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.instagram.com/p/DePEPk9ivUk/",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Jozef Viskupič": 1.02,
      "Peter Hambálek": 11.0,
      "József Berényi": 15.0,
      "Matej Lančarič": 30.0,
      "Róbert Dohál": 45.0,
      "Jaroslav Cehlárik": 50.0,
      "Štefan Pollák": 75.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Jozef Viskupič": 1.02,
      "Peter Hambálek": 10.0,
      "József Berényi": 18.0,
      "Matej Lančarič": 30.0,
      "Róbert Dohál": 50.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Jozef Viskupič": 1.03,
      "Peter Hambálek": 8.0,
      "József Berényi": 13.0,
      "Matej Lančarič": 15.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.795,
    "poll_sd": 0.071,
    "n_polls": 2
   },
   "notes": "Úradujúci predseda Jozef Viskupič vyhral v roku 2022 s 38,56 % a teraz ho nominujú PS, SaS, KDH, Demokrati, Hnutie Slovensko, Maďarské fórum a OKS. Prieskum AKO pre JOJ 24 mu dáva 51,8 % rozhodnutých voličov, József Berényi (Maďarská aliancia) má 18,1 %, nezávislý Matej Lančarič 11,7 % a Peter Hambálek (Smer, Hlas, SNS, Republika) 9,6 %. Berényi má podporu najmä medzi maďarskými voličmi, v okrese Dunajská Streda vedie s 53 % pred Viskupičom s 29 %. Politologické prieskumy dávajú tretie miesto Hambálkovi s 13,4 %.",
   "sources": [
    "https://osam.trnava-vuc.sk/OSamApi/fileDownloadEUT/d32d2e09-f347-4a73-80ee-20f1cd2c2ab1",
    "https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017",
    "https://trnava-vuc.sk/sedem-kandidatov-na-zupana-42-poslaneckych-kresiel-a-214-uchadzacov/",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/osk/2022/OSK2022_SK_tab06a.csv",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/onfHZZp/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-zupana-pre-trnavsky-kraj-vo-volbach-do-vuc-2026/",
    "https://www.trnavak.sk/komunalne-volby/zupan"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Jozef Viskupič",
     "party": "Progresívne Slovensko, Sloboda a solidarita, KDH, Demokrati, Hnutie Slovensko, Maďarské fórum, Občianska konzervatívna strana",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 52.6,
     "mean": 52.4,
     "lo80": 36.4,
     "hi80": 68.2,
     "p_win": 0.9638,
     "p_win_blind": 0.9466,
     "p_win_market": 0.9615,
     "fund_share": 60.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.8537,
     "swing": 1.09,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.3856
    },
    {
     "name": "József Berényi",
     "party": "Magyar szövetség - Maďarská aliancia",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 18.5,
     "mean": 19.6,
     "lo80": 10.2,
     "hi80": 30.6,
     "p_win": 0.0219,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0467,
     "p_win_market": 0.0099,
     "fund_share": 5.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.024,
     "swing": 0.451,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.2104
    },
    {
     "name": "Peter Hambálek",
     "party": "Smer - sociálna demokracia, Hlas - sociálna demokracia, Slovenská národná strana, Republika",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 11.1,
     "mean": 12.2,
     "lo80": 5.8,
     "hi80": 19.9,
     "p_win": 0.0119,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0063,
     "p_win_market": 0.0218,
     "fund_share": 10.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0891,
     "swing": 1.078,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Matej Lančarič",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 7.6,
     "mean": 8.4,
     "lo80": 4.1,
     "hi80": 13.6,
     "p_win": 0.0015,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0004,
     "p_win_market": 0.0053,
     "fund_share": 4.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0183,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Róbert Dohál",
     "party": "Alternatíva pre Slovensko",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 3.6,
     "mean": 4.1,
     "lo80": 1.9,
     "hi80": 6.7,
     "p_win": 0.0004,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0014,
     "fund_share": 2.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0033,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Jaroslav Cehlárik",
     "party": "Právo na pravdu",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 1.8,
     "mean": 2.0,
     "lo80": 0.9,
     "hi80": 3.4,
     "p_win": 0.0004,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0013,
     "fund_share": 2.8,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0072,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Štefan Pollák",
     "party": "Spoločne občania Slovenska",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 1.3,
     "mean": 1.4,
     "lo80": 0.7,
     "hi80": 2.4,
     "p_win": 0.0003,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0006,
     "fund_share": 2.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0044,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "kraj-tn",
   "name": "Trenčiansky samosprávny kraj",
   "office": "predseda VUC",
   "group": "kraj",
   "voters": 478826,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Jaroslav Baška",
    "since": 2013,
    "party_2022": "SMER - SD, Hlas - sociálna demokracia, SME RODINA, SNS",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 44.8,
     "registered_voters": 478826,
     "participating_voters": 214539,
     "valid_votes": 195837,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Jaroslav Baška",
       "party": "SMER - SD, Hlas - sociálna demokracia, SME RODINA, SNS",
       "votes": 131705,
       "pct": 67.25
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Máťoš",
       "party": "KDH, SaS, OKS, DOBRÁ VOĽBA a Umiernení, Progresívne Slovensko, SPOLU, ODS, ŠANCA",
       "votes": 32547,
       "pct": 16.61
      },
      {
       "name": "Adrián Mikuš",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 16317,
       "pct": 8.33
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Magdech",
       "party": "REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 5801,
       "pct": 2.96
      },
      {
       "name": "Anton Kysel",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 5553,
       "pct": 2.83
      },
      {
       "name": "Marian Kňažko",
       "party": "Slovenská ľudová strana (SĽS)",
       "votes": 3914,
       "pct": 1.99
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/osk/2022/OSK2022_SK_tab06a.csv",
     "source_turnout": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/sk/suhrnne_vysledky.html"
    },
    "2017": {
     "turnout_pct": 26.31,
     "registered_voters": 493851,
     "participating_voters": 129940,
     "valid_votes": 125652,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Jaroslav Baška",
       "party": "SMER-SD, SNS, MOST - HÍD, SZ",
       "votes": 62807,
       "pct": 49.98
      },
      {
       "name": "Renáta Kaščáková",
       "party": "SaS, OĽaNO, KDH, OKS, NOVA, Zmena zdola, DÚ",
       "votes": 31580,
       "pct": 25.13
      },
      {
       "name": "Štefan Škultéty",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 17403,
       "pct": 13.85
      },
      {
       "name": "Petra Hajšelová",
       "party": "SME RODINA - Boris Kollár",
       "votes": 6032,
       "pct": 4.8
      },
      {
       "name": "Ferdinand Vavrík",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 4079,
       "pct": 3.24
      },
      {
       "name": "Nora Pániková",
       "party": "SZS",
       "votes": 2477,
       "pct": 1.97
      },
      {
       "name": "Igor Valko",
       "party": "NP",
       "votes": 1274,
       "pct": 1.01
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017",
     "source_note": "Figures from SK Wikipedia (cites ŠÚ SR); ŠÚ SR 2017 page https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/sk/data01.html is JS-rendered and was not machine-readable."
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "AKO",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-16",
     "n": null,
     "sponsor": "JOJ 24",
     "results": {
      "Jaroslav Baška": 57.5,
      "Natália Svítková": 38.6,
      "Lubomír Choleva": 2.8,
      "Daniel Galas": 1.1
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://joj24.noviny.sk/prieskumy/1268562-kto-bude-zupanom-trencianskeho-kraja-takmer-stvrtina-opytanych-este-nevie-komu-da-hlas",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "Politologické prieskumy",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-11",
     "n": 898,
     "sponsor": null,
     "results": {
      "Jaroslav Baška": 49.2,
      "Natália Svítková": 37.6,
      "Lubomír Choleva": 0.4,
      "Daniel Galas": 0.2
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.instagram.com/p/Dee50RzCO71/",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Jaroslav Baška": 1.08,
      "Natália Svítková": 5.8,
      "Daniel Galas": 60.0,
      "Lubomír Choleva": 70.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Jaroslav Baška": 1.05,
      "Natália Svítková": 8.0,
      "Daniel Galas": 50.0,
      "Lubomír Choleva": 70.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Jaroslav Baška": 1.07,
      "Natália Svítková": 5.5
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.785,
    "poll_sd": 0.073,
    "n_polls": 2
   },
   "notes": "Úradujúci predseda Jaroslav Baška je vo funkcii od roku 2013 a v roku 2022 získal 67,25 %; nominujú ho Smer, Hlas, Republika a SNS. Opozičné strany PS, SaS, KDH, Demokrati, Hnutie Slovensko a OKS podporujú Natáliu Svítkovú, ostatní dvaja kandidáti sú okrajoví. Prieskum AKO dáva Baškovi 57,5 % a Svítkovej 38,6 % rozhodnutých voličov, Politologické prieskumy 56,0 % a 43,3 %. Opozičný kandidát mal v roku 2022 16,6 %. Tipsport dáva na Bašku kurz 1,08.",
   "sources": [
    "https://cuet.slovensko.sk/sk/dokument/96c05892-6ec3-40b3-9224-9a639a1f013f",
    "https://hnonline.sk/volby-2026/volby-do-vuc-2026/96307638-vuc-volby-2026-trencin-zoznam-kandidatov-zupan-a-poslanci",
    "https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017",
    "https://trencin.sk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Zoznam-zaregistrovanych-kandidatov-pre-volby-predsedu-TSK.pdf",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/osk/2022/OSK2022_SK_tab06a.csv",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/pGWwtjf/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-predsedov-samospravnych-krajov-vo-volbach-do-vuc-2026/"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Jaroslav Baška",
     "party": "Smer - sociálna demokracia, Hlas - sociálna demokracia, Republika, Slovenská národná strana",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 61.8,
     "mean": 60.7,
     "lo80": 41.5,
     "hi80": 78.5,
     "p_win": 0.8711,
     "p_win_blind": 0.8033,
     "p_win_market": 0.9151,
     "fund_share": 78.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.8975,
     "swing": 1.078,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.6725
    },
    {
     "name": "Natália Svítková",
     "party": "Demokrati, Hnutie Slovensko, KDH, Občianska konzervatívna strana, Progresívne Slovensko, Sloboda a solidarita",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 35.0,
     "mean": 36.2,
     "lo80": 19.0,
     "hi80": 55.3,
     "p_win": 0.1277,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1967,
     "p_win_market": 0.0801,
     "fund_share": 13.6,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0977,
     "swing": 1.09,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Lubomír Choleva",
     "party": "Vlastenecký blok",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 1.7,
     "mean": 1.9,
     "lo80": 0.8,
     "hi80": 3.3,
     "p_win": 0.0006,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.003,
     "fund_share": 2.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0024,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Daniel Galas",
     "party": "Slovexit",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 1.0,
     "mean": 1.1,
     "lo80": 0.5,
     "hi80": 1.9,
     "p_win": 0.0007,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0042,
     "fund_share": 2.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0024,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "kraj-nr",
   "name": "Nitriansky samosprávny kraj",
   "office": "predseda VUC",
   "group": "kraj",
   "voters": 566504,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Branislav Becík",
    "since": 2022,
    "party_2022": "Hlas - sociálna demokracia, SME RODINA",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 43.1,
     "registered_voters": 566504,
     "participating_voters": 244201,
     "valid_votes": 213714,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Branislav Becík",
       "party": "Hlas - sociálna demokracia, SME RODINA",
       "votes": 58765,
       "pct": 27.49
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Belica",
       "party": "NEKA (supported by SMER-SD, SNS)",
       "votes": 46710,
       "pct": 21.85
      },
      {
       "name": "Tibor Csenger",
       "party": "SZÖVETSÉG - ALIANCIA",
       "votes": 35604,
       "pct": 16.65
      },
      {
       "name": "Martina Holečková",
       "party": "KDH, SaS, Tím Kraj Nitra, ŠANCA, SPOLU, ODS, DS, OKS, ZA ĽUDÍ",
       "votes": 33467,
       "pct": 15.65
      },
      {
       "name": "Lukáš Kyselica",
       "party": "OĽANO-NOVA-KÚ-ZMENA ZDOLA",
       "votes": 10897,
       "pct": 5.09
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Kusenda",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 9130,
       "pct": 4.27
      },
      {
       "name": "Renáta Kolenčíková",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 5741,
       "pct": 2.68
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Pukan",
       "party": "REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 4968,
       "pct": 2.32
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Španír",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 4061,
       "pct": 1.9
      },
      {
       "name": "Artúr Bekmatov",
       "party": "Socialisti.sk",
       "votes": 3424,
       "pct": 1.6
      },
      {
       "name": "Oliver Štaudner",
       "party": "Slovenská ľudová strana (SĽS)",
       "votes": 947,
       "pct": 0.44
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/osk/2022/OSK2022_SK_tab06a.csv",
     "source_turnout": "https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2022/sk/suhrnne_vysledky.html"
    },
    "2017": {
     "turnout_pct": 26.84,
     "registered_voters": 582228,
     "participating_voters": 156268,
     "valid_votes": 152993,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Milan Belica",
       "party": "SMER-SD, SNS, MOST - HÍD",
       "votes": 52184,
       "pct": 34.1
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Greššo",
       "party": "SaS, OĽaNO, KDH, ŠANCA, OKS, NOVA, Demokrati Slovenska",
       "votes": 26382,
       "pct": 17.24
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Uhrík",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 23502,
       "pct": 15.36
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Oremus",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 22827,
       "pct": 14.92
      },
      {
       "name": "Iván Farkas",
       "party": "SMK-MKP",
       "votes": 21084,
       "pct": 13.78
      },
      {
       "name": "Renáta Kolenčíková",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3456,
       "pct": 2.25
      },
      {
       "name": "László Hajdu",
       "party": "MKDA-MKDSZ",
       "votes": 2571,
       "pct": 1.68
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Marko",
       "party": "NP",
       "votes": 987,
       "pct": 0.64
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017",
     "source_note": "Figures from SK Wikipedia (cites ŠÚ SR); ŠÚ SR 2017 page https://volby.statistics.sk/osk/osk2017/sk/data01.html is JS-rendered and was not machine-readable."
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "AKO",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-18",
     "n": null,
     "sponsor": "JOJ 24",
     "results": {
      "Branislav Becík": 45.5,
      "Henrich Varga": 25.5,
      "Jolana Čuláková": 10.2,
      "Tibor Csenger": 10.1,
      "Róbert Švec": 5.5,
      "Erik Blaško": 3.2,
      "Karol Suchan": 0.0
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://joj24.noviny.sk/prieskumy/1269439-najmladsi-by-volili-inak-volebny-model-v-nitrianskom-kraji-priniesol-zaujimave-rozdiely",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "Politologické prieskumy",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-14",
     "n": 762,
     "sponsor": null,
     "results": {
      "Branislav Becík": 42.0,
      "Henrich Varga": 34.8,
      "Tibor Csenger": 8.0,
      "Róbert Švec": 2.7
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.instagram.com/p/DeY7rOgCpJt/",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Branislav Becík": 1.1,
      "Henrich Varga": 6.5,
      "Tibor Csenger": 25.0,
      "Karol Suchan": 40.0,
      "Erik Blaško": 50.0,
      "Róbert Švec": 50.0,
      "Jolana Čuláková": 60.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Branislav Becík": 1.12,
      "Henrich Varga": 6.0,
      "Tibor Csenger": 30.0,
      "Karol Suchan": 40.0,
      "Erik Blaško": 50.0,
      "Róbert Švec": 50.0,
      "Jolana Čuláková": 50.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Branislav Becík": 1.19,
      "Henrich Varga": 3.8,
      "Tibor Csenger": 19.0,
      "Karol Suchan": 30.0,
      "Erik Blaško": 40.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-predsedu-vuc-2026-kraj-po-kraji/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.786,
    "poll_sd": 0.073,
    "n_polls": 2
   },
   "notes": "Úradujúci predseda Branislav Becík (Hlas) vyhral v roku 2022 s 27,49 % a teraz ho podporujú Hlas, Smer, SNS, Republika, Právo na pravdu a Bratia Slovenska. Henrich Varga je spoločný kandidát opozície a Tímu kraj Nitra. Prieskumy sa rozchádzajú: AKO dáva Becíkovi 45,5 % a Vargovi 25,5 %, Politologické prieskumy Vargovi 38,9 % rozhodnutých; kurz Tipsportu na Vargu stúpol z 3,2 na 6,5. Poslankyňa Martina Holečková 19. októbra oznámila trestné oznámenie na Becíka pre zámenu pozemkov v Radave; ide o podozrenie, nie o obvinenie.",
   "sources": [
    "https://cuet.slovensko.sk/sk/priloha/uloz/47e14565-8007-4760-87f3-b844064ebbf8",
    "https://hnonline.sk/volby-2026/volby-do-vuc-2026/96307533-vuc-volby-2026-nitriansky-kraj-zoznam-kandidatov-zupan-a-poslanci",
    "https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_samospr%C3%A1vnych_krajov_na_Slovensku_v_roku_2017",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/osk/2022/OSK2022_SK_tab06a.csv",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/pGWwtjf/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-predsedov-samospravnych-krajov-vo-volbach-do-vuc-2026/",
    "https://www.nitrak.sk/komunalne-volby/zupan"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Branislav Becík",
     "party": "Hlas - sociálna demokracia, Smer - sociálna demokracia, Slovenská národná strana, Republika, Právo na pravdu, Bratia Slovenska",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 45.9,
     "mean": 46.0,
     "lo80": 29.4,
     "hi80": 62.8,
     "p_win": 0.8285,
     "p_win_blind": 0.7816,
     "p_win_market": 0.8457,
     "fund_share": 53.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.769,
     "swing": 1.078,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.2749
    },
    {
     "name": "Henrich Varga",
     "party": "Tím kraj Nitra - združenie kandidátov Nitrianskeho kraja, Sloboda a solidarita, Progresívne Slovensko, KDH, Hnutie Slovensko, Demokrati, Maďarské fórum, Občianska konzervatívna strana",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 27.0,
     "mean": 28.2,
     "lo80": 15.1,
     "hi80": 43.4,
     "p_win": 0.1627,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2165,
     "p_win_market": 0.1165,
     "fund_share": 15.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1646,
     "swing": 1.09,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Tibor Csenger",
     "party": "Magyar szövetség - Maďarská aliancia",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 8.3,
     "mean": 9.1,
     "lo80": 4.5,
     "hi80": 14.9,
     "p_win": 0.004,
     "p_win_blind": 0.001,
     "p_win_market": 0.0152,
     "fund_share": 6.5,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0396,
     "swing": 0.451,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.1665
    },
    {
     "name": "Jolana Čuláková",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislá kandidátka)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 8.0,
     "mean": 8.8,
     "lo80": 4.3,
     "hi80": 14.3,
     "p_win": 0.0023,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0009,
     "p_win_market": 0.0053,
     "fund_share": 3.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0134,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Róbert Švec",
     "party": "Slovenské hnutie obrody",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 3.6,
     "mean": 4.0,
     "lo80": 1.9,
     "hi80": 6.5,
     "p_win": 0.0008,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0059,
     "fund_share": 2.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0047,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Erik Blaško",
     "party": "Jednota Slovanov",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 2.8,
     "mean": 3.1,
     "lo80": 1.5,
     "hi80": 5.3,
     "p_win": 0.0008,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0063,
     "fund_share": 2.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0043,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Karol Suchan",
     "party": "Slovexit",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 0.6,
     "mean": 0.7,
     "lo80": 0.3,
     "hi80": 1.1,
     "p_win": 0.001,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0088,
     "fund_share": 2.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0045,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-stare-mesto",
   "name": "Staré Mesto",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 41432,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Matej Vagač",
    "since": 2022,
    "party_2022": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 38.07,
     "registered_voters": 41432,
     "valid_votes": 15173,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Matej Vagač",
       "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko",
       "votes": 7633,
       "pct": 50.3
      },
      {
       "name": "Zuzana Aufrichtová",
       "party": "SaS, KDH, OKS, NOVA, ZA ĽUDÍ, Zmena zdola, DÚ",
       "votes": 3374,
       "pct": 22.23
      },
      {
       "name": "Radoslav Števčík",
       "party": "STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI",
       "votes": 2461,
       "pct": 16.21
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Gajdoš",
       "party": "SPOLU, DS, ODS, ŠANCA",
       "votes": 699,
       "pct": 4.6
      },
      {
       "name": "Zuzana Luhová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 238,
       "pct": 1.56
      },
      {
       "name": "Romana Tabák",
       "party": "SME RODINA",
       "votes": 216,
       "pct": 1.42
      },
      {
       "name": "Andrej Trnovec",
       "party": "Slovenská ľudová strana (SĽS)",
       "votes": 206,
       "pct": 1.35
      },
      {
       "name": "Michal Čambal",
       "party": "ŽIVOT",
       "votes": 149,
       "pct": 0.98
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Bača",
       "party": "DOMOV-NS",
       "votes": 121,
       "pct": 0.79
      },
      {
       "name": "Milena Minichová",
       "party": "STRANA MODERNÉHO SLOVENSKA (SMS)",
       "votes": 76,
       "pct": 0.5
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 43.35,
     "registered_voters": 39923,
     "valid_votes": 16680,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Zuzana Aufrichtová",
       "party": "SaS, OĽANO, KDH, SME RODINA, OKS, NOVA, Zmena zdola, DÚ",
       "votes": 6104,
       "pct": 36.59
      },
      {
       "name": "Radoslav Števčík",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 4022,
       "pct": 24.11
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Borguľa",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3300,
       "pct": 19.78
      },
      {
       "name": "Barbora Oráčová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1409,
       "pct": 8.44
      },
      {
       "name": "Dana Kleinert",
       "party": "Progresívne Slovensko, SPOLU (withdrew; marked X by ŠÚ)",
       "votes": 969,
       "pct": 5.8
      },
      {
       "name": "Štefan Wimmer",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 503,
       "pct": 3.01
      },
      {
       "name": "Sven Šovčík",
       "party": "STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI (withdrew; marked X by ŠÚ)",
       "votes": 207,
       "pct": 1.24
      },
      {
       "name": "Vladimír Hudec",
       "party": "NÁRODNÁ KOALÍCIA",
       "votes": 92,
       "pct": 0.55
      },
      {
       "name": "Michal Šulek",
       "party": "STRANA MODERNÉHO SLOVENSKA (SMS)",
       "votes": 74,
       "pct": 0.44
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)"
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Matej Vagač (PS, Team Bratislava, SaS, Demokrati) vyhral v roku 2022 s 50,30 %. Bývalá starostka Zuzana Aufrichtová (Krajina, KDH, KÚ, Nova) bola vtedy druhá s 22,23 % a teraz ju podporuje aj strana Dunaj, ktorej kandidát v jej prospech odstúpil. Hlasy kritikov primátora Matúša Valla delí aj Petra Hitková (SaNK), Miroslav Vetrík kandiduje za Smer, Hlas a SNS. Aufrichtová podala podnet na prokuratúru pre Vagačov postup pri koncesnej zmluve na diaľkové vykurovanie; ide o jej tvrdenie.",
   "sources": [
    "https://data.moderneobce.sk/data/uploads/staremesto.sk/volby2026/KL_Starosta_2026.pdf",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.staremesto.sk/31451/volby-do-organov-uzemnej-samospravy-2026",
    "https://www.teraz.sk/komunalne-volby-2026/v-bratislavskom-starom-meste-su-styria/989965-clanok.html"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Matej Vagač",
     "party": "Progresívne Slovensko, Team Bratislava, Sloboda a solidarita, Demokrati",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 52.6,
     "mean": 51.9,
     "lo80": 20.7,
     "hi80": 82.4,
     "p_win": 0.7093,
     "p_win_blind": 0.7093,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 52.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.704,
     "swing": 0.05,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.503
    },
    {
     "name": "Zuzana Aufrichtová",
     "party": "Krajina, KDH, Konzervatívci - kresťanská únia, Nova",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 14.5,
     "mean": 19.4,
     "lo80": 3.6,
     "hi80": 42.9,
     "p_win": 0.1381,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1381,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 14.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1392,
     "swing": 0.02,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.2223
    },
    {
     "name": "Miroslav Vetrík",
     "party": "Smer - sociálna demokracia, Hlas - sociálna demokracia, Slovenská národná strana, Život - národná strana",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 11.5,
     "mean": 16.1,
     "lo80": 2.7,
     "hi80": 36.3,
     "p_win": 0.0953,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0953,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 11.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0972,
     "swing": -0.08,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Petra Hitková",
     "party": "Starostovia a nezávislí kandidáti",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 8.6,
     "mean": 12.5,
     "lo80": 2.0,
     "hi80": 28.7,
     "p_win": 0.0574,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0574,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 8.6,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0596,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-ruzinov",
   "name": "Ružinov",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 70536,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Martin Chren",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "TÍM RUŽINOV",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 36.6,
     "registered_voters": 70536,
     "valid_votes": 24679,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Martin Chren",
       "party": "TÍM RUŽINOV",
       "votes": 19283,
       "pct": 78.13
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Strapák",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2698,
       "pct": 10.93
      },
      {
       "name": "Jana Jányová",
       "party": "SMER - SD, REPUBLIKA, DOMOV-NS",
       "votes": 1212,
       "pct": 4.91
      },
      {
       "name": "Ivor Švihran",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 921,
       "pct": 3.73
      },
      {
       "name": "Veronika Biksadská",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 565,
       "pct": 2.28
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 40.21,
     "registered_voters": 69150,
     "valid_votes": 27105,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Martin Chren",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 9273,
       "pct": 34.21
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Buocik",
       "party": "SaS, OĽANO, SME RODINA, OKS, NOVA",
       "votes": 6455,
       "pct": 23.81
      },
      {
       "name": "Jana Poláčiková",
       "party": "Progresívne Slovensko, SPOLU",
       "votes": 4465,
       "pct": 16.47
      },
      {
       "name": "Dušan Pekár",
       "party": "KDH",
       "votes": 3916,
       "pct": 14.44
      },
      {
       "name": "Slavomír Drozd",
       "party": "SMER-SD, SNS, SZS",
       "votes": 1291,
       "pct": 4.76
      },
      {
       "name": "Igor Adamec",
       "party": "SKS",
       "votes": 1282,
       "pct": 4.72
      },
      {
       "name": "Kristína Laššáková",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 423,
       "pct": 1.56
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)"
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Martin Chren (Tím Ružinov) vyhral v roku 2018 s 34,21 % a v roku 2022 so 78,13 %. Koalícia Team Bratislava, PS, SaS a Demokrati proti nemu kandidáta nepostavila a deklaruje spoluprácu, kandidáta nemá ani žiadna vládna strana. Vyzývateľmi sú nezávislí Peter Strapák, ktorý bol v roku 2022 druhý s 10,93 %, a Ivor Švihran, ktorý mal v roku 2022 3,73 %.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.ruzinovskeecho.sk/clanok/aktualne-volby-2026-predstavujeme-vam-kandidatov",
    "https://www.teraz.sk/regiony/v-bratislavskom-ruzinove-su-traja-kand/989901-clanok.html"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Martin Chren",
     "party": "Tím Ružinov",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 59.3,
     "mean": 57.1,
     "lo80": 23.9,
     "hi80": 86.8,
     "p_win": 0.7145,
     "p_win_blind": 0.7145,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 59.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.7187,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.7813
    },
    {
     "name": "Peter Strapák",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 19.1,
     "mean": 24.4,
     "lo80": 4.6,
     "hi80": 53.2,
     "p_win": 0.1799,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1799,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 19.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.174,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.1093
    },
    {
     "name": "Ivor Švihran",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 13.3,
     "mean": 18.5,
     "lo80": 3.2,
     "hi80": 42.0,
     "p_win": 0.1056,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1056,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 13.5,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1073,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0373
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-vrakuna",
   "name": "Vrakuňa",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 17417,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Martin Kuruc",
    "since": 2014,
    "party_2022": "NEKA",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 30.61,
     "registered_voters": 17417,
     "valid_votes": 4621,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Martin Kuruc",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 4621,
       "pct": 100.0
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv (Kuruc was the sole candidate)"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 36.2,
     "registered_voters": 17544,
     "valid_votes": 6135,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Martin Kuruc",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 5779,
       "pct": 94.19
      },
      {
       "name": "Marián Nagy",
       "party": "NÁRODNÁ KOALÍCIA",
       "votes": 356,
       "pct": 5.8
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)"
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Martin Kuruc je vo funkcii od roku 2014, v roku 2018 získal 94,19 % a v roku 2022 nemal protikandidáta. Prvýkrát kandiduje s nomináciou strán Team Bratislava, PS, SaS a Demokrati, predtým kandidoval ako nezávislý. Protikandidátmi sú Dušan Burdy (Právo na pravdu) a Katarína Lukáčová (DS-ODS).",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv (Kuruc was the sole candidate)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.teraz.sk/komunalne-volby-2026/volby26-na-post-starostu-bratislavskej/989310-clanok.html"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Martin Kuruc",
     "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, Sloboda a solidarita, Demokrati",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 78.0,
     "mean": 73.0,
     "lo80": 43.2,
     "hi80": 94.2,
     "p_win": 0.9041,
     "p_win_blind": 0.9041,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 78.0,
     "fund_p_win": 0.9058,
     "swing": 0.05,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 1.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Katarína Lukáčová",
     "party": "Demokratická strana – občianski demokrati Slovenska",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 9.6,
     "mean": 14.6,
     "lo80": 2.1,
     "hi80": 34.5,
     "p_win": 0.0559,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0559,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 9.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.056,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Dušan Burdy",
     "party": "Právo na pravdu",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 8.0,
     "mean": 12.4,
     "lo80": 1.6,
     "hi80": 29.9,
     "p_win": 0.04,
     "p_win_blind": 0.04,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 7.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0382,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-podunajske-biskupice",
   "name": "Podunajské Biskupice",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 19586,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Roman Lamoš",
    "since": 2022,
    "party_2022": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, SaS",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 36.74,
     "registered_voters": 19586,
     "valid_votes": 6893,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Roman Lamoš",
       "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, SaS",
       "votes": 3090,
       "pct": 44.82
      },
      {
       "name": "Zoltán Pék",
       "party": "SOM Slovensko, SZÖVETSÉG - ALIANCIA",
       "votes": 1502,
       "pct": 21.79
      },
      {
       "name": "Martina Frőhlich Činovská",
       "party": "STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI, DOBRÁ VOĽBA a Umiernení",
       "votes": 644,
       "pct": 9.34
      },
      {
       "name": "Boris Vereš",
       "party": "SME RODINA, KDH, ZA ĽUDÍ",
       "votes": 610,
       "pct": 8.84
      },
      {
       "name": "Pavol Kubiš",
       "party": "DS",
       "votes": 459,
       "pct": 6.65
      },
      {
       "name": "Zoran Kupkovič",
       "party": "Hlas - sociálna demokracia",
       "votes": 364,
       "pct": 5.28
      },
      {
       "name": "Andrej Bojczún",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 224,
       "pct": 3.24
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 37.75,
     "registered_voters": 20027,
     "valid_votes": 7333,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Zoltán Pék",
       "party": "MOST - HÍD, SaS, SME RODINA, OKS, NOVA",
       "votes": 1527,
       "pct": 20.82
      },
      {
       "name": "Roman Lamoš",
       "party": "Progresívne Slovensko, SPOLU",
       "votes": 1279,
       "pct": 17.44
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Černý",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 973,
       "pct": 13.26
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Duranský",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 943,
       "pct": 12.85
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Kšiňan",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 876,
       "pct": 11.94
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Halás",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 432,
       "pct": 5.89
      },
      {
       "name": "Kristián Kevický",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 401,
       "pct": 5.46
      },
      {
       "name": "Zoran Kupkovič",
       "party": "SMER-SD, SNS, SZS",
       "votes": 386,
       "pct": 5.26
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Španko",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 304,
       "pct": 4.14
      },
      {
       "name": "Andrej Bojczún",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 212,
       "pct": 2.89
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)"
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Roman Lamoš (Team Bratislava, PS, SaS, Demokrati) vyhral v roku 2022 so 44,82 %. Martinu Frőhlich Činovskú nominujú SaNK, KDH, Nova a Maďarská aliancia; v roku 2022 bola tretia s 9,34 % a na jej kandidátke do zastupiteľstva je bývalý starosta Zoltán Pék, ktorý bol v roku 2022 druhý s 21,8 %. Ladislav Méry kandiduje za stranu Dunaj. Lamoš 15. októbra podal trestné oznámenie po tom, čo pod autom našiel sledovacie zariadenie GPS, a polícia začala trestné stíhanie pre nebezpečné prenasledovanie.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.teraz.sk/komunalne-volby-2026/v-podunajskych-biskupiciach-su-traja-k/990642-clanok.html"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Roman Lamoš",
     "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, Sloboda a solidarita, Demokrati",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 56.7,
     "mean": 55.2,
     "lo80": 21.9,
     "hi80": 85.9,
     "p_win": 0.6824,
     "p_win_blind": 0.6824,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 61.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.7431,
     "swing": 0.05,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.4482
    },
    {
     "name": "Martina Frőhlich Činovská",
     "party": "Starostovia a nezávislí kandidáti, KDH, Nova, Magyar Szövetség - Maďarská aliancia",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 23.8,
     "mean": 28.6,
     "lo80": 5.9,
     "hi80": 59.6,
     "p_win": 0.2352,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2352,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 18.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1653,
     "swing": 0.059,
     "adj": 0.3,
     "adj_reason": "Spojená kandidatúra SaNK, KDH, Nova a Maďarskej aliancie s podporou exstarostu Péka na jej kandidátke. Tieto strany mali v roku 2022 spolu približne 40 %.",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0934
    },
    {
     "name": "Ladislav Méry",
     "party": "Dunaj",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 11.4,
     "mean": 16.3,
     "lo80": 2.7,
     "hi80": 37.2,
     "p_win": 0.0824,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0824,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 12.5,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0915,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-nove-mesto",
   "name": "Nové Mesto",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 38438,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Matúš Čupka",
    "since": 2022,
    "party_2022": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, SaS",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 39.0,
     "registered_voters": 38438,
     "valid_votes": 14139,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Matúš Čupka",
       "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, SaS",
       "votes": 7832,
       "pct": 55.39
      },
      {
       "name": "Zuzana Rattajová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2803,
       "pct": 19.82
      },
      {
       "name": "Branislav Filipovič",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2684,
       "pct": 18.98
      },
      {
       "name": "Andrej Árva",
       "party": "STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI",
       "votes": 624,
       "pct": 4.41
      },
      {
       "name": "Radúz Dula",
       "party": "DS, ODS, ŠANCA, SPOLU (withdrew; marked X by ŠÚ)",
       "votes": 111,
       "pct": 0.78
      },
      {
       "name": "Simona Timková",
       "party": "Demokrati Slovenska (withdrew; marked X by ŠÚ)",
       "votes": 85,
       "pct": 0.6
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 42.97,
     "registered_voters": 36906,
     "valid_votes": 15404,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Rudolf Kusý",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 9011,
       "pct": 58.49
      },
      {
       "name": "Matúš Čupka",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 5783,
       "pct": 37.54
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Kolesár",
       "party": "STRANA MODERNÉHO SLOVENSKA (SMS)",
       "votes": 610,
       "pct": 3.96
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)"
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Matúš Čupka (Team Bratislava, PS, SaS, Demokrati) vyhral v roku 2022 s 55,39 %. Hlavný vyzývateľ Rudolf Kusý, bývalý starosta (do roku 2022), ho v roku 2018 porazil pomerom 58,49 % ku 37,54 %. Podľa Bratislavského Večerníka Kusý čelí obvineniu z úplatkárstva vo výške 150 000 eur a stratil podporu strany Dunaj. Tomáš Čajda (SaNK) 1. októbra odstúpil a nikoho nepodporil.",
   "sources": [
    "https://banm.sk/novinka/139682/zoznam-zaregistrovanych-kandidatov-pre-volby-do-organov-samospravy-obci-a-do-organov-samospravnych-krajov",
    "https://data.moderneobce.sk/data/uploads/banm.sk/Zoznam_registrovan%C3%BDch_kandid%C3%A1tov_pre_vo%C4%BEby_do_org%C3%A1nov_obc%C3%AD_na_starostu_mestskej_%C4%8Dasti_Bratislava-Nov%C3%A9_Mesto.pdf",
    "https://mene.sk/clanky/2026/10/cajda-odstupil-nove-mesto/",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [
    {
     "name": "Tomáš Čajda",
     "transfer_to": null
    }
   ],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Matúš Čupka",
     "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, Sloboda a solidarita, Demokrati",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 57.5,
     "mean": 55.5,
     "lo80": 21.7,
     "hi80": 86.3,
     "p_win": 0.6728,
     "p_win_blind": 0.6728,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 63.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.7583,
     "swing": 0.05,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.5539
    },
    {
     "name": "Rudolf Kusy",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 26.9,
     "mean": 31.7,
     "lo80": 6.8,
     "hi80": 64.5,
     "p_win": 0.2776,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2776,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 20.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.181,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.4,
     "adj_reason": "Bývalý starosta (do roku 2022). V roku 2018 porazil Čupku 58,5 % : 37,5 %. Model používa len posledné voľby a v tých nekandidoval. Úprava je nižšia ako +0,6 kvôli obvineniu z úplatku (2025).",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Mária Martaus",
     "party": "Pirátska strana - Slovensko",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 8.5,
     "mean": 12.9,
     "lo80": 1.9,
     "hi80": 30.1,
     "p_win": 0.0495,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0495,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 9.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0606,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-raca",
   "name": "Rača",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 21896,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Michal Drotován",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "NEKA",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 38.63,
     "registered_voters": 21896,
     "valid_votes": 8172,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Michal Drotován",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 5603,
       "pct": 68.56
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Polakovič",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2113,
       "pct": 25.85
      },
      {
       "name": "Rudolf Ivičič",
       "party": "SRDCE - SNJ - sv",
       "votes": 231,
       "pct": 2.82
      },
      {
       "name": "Teodor Žitný",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 225,
       "pct": 2.75
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 45.46,
     "registered_voters": 20109,
     "valid_votes": 8949,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Michal Drotován",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3889,
       "pct": 43.45
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Pilinský",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3460,
       "pct": 38.66
      },
      {
       "name": "Monika Luknárová",
       "party": "SaS, OĽANO, SME RODINA, KDH, OKS, NOVA, Zmena zdola, DÚ",
       "votes": 1600,
       "pct": 17.87
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)"
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Michal Drotován (nezávislý) vyhral v roku 2018 so 43,45 % a v roku 2022 so 68,56 %. Jediným protikandidátom je Ján Polakovič (Spoločný cieľ), ktorý bol v roku 2022 druhý s 25,85 %. Kandidujú teda tí istí dvaja ako v roku 2022, tentoraz bez ďalších kandidátov.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.raca.sk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Zoznam-zaregistrovanych-kandidatov-na-starostu-1.pdf",
    "https://www.teraz.sk/komunalne-volby-2026/v-bratislavskej-raci-su-dvaja-kandida/989276-clanok.html"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Michal Drotován",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 80.2,
     "mean": 74.3,
     "lo80": 42.3,
     "hi80": 95.8,
     "p_win": 0.8534,
     "p_win_blind": 0.8534,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 80.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.8566,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.6856
    },
    {
     "name": "Ján Polakovič",
     "party": "Spoločný cieľ",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 19.8,
     "mean": 25.7,
     "lo80": 4.2,
     "hi80": 57.7,
     "p_win": 0.1467,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1467,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 19.8,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1434,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.2585
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-vajnory",
   "name": "Vajnory",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 4881,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Michal Vlček",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "NEKA",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 47.81,
     "registered_voters": 4881,
     "valid_votes": 2219,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Michal Vlček",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1356,
       "pct": 61.1
      },
      {
       "name": "Monika Debnárová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 453,
       "pct": 20.41
      },
      {
       "name": "Juraj Ondruška",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 410,
       "pct": 18.47
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 55.63,
     "registered_voters": 4842,
     "valid_votes": 2607,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Michal Vlček",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1327,
       "pct": 50.9
      },
      {
       "name": "Juraj Ondruška",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1145,
       "pct": 43.92
      },
      {
       "name": "Marian Pružina",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 135,
       "pct": 5.17
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)"
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Michal Vlček (nezávislý) vyhral v roku 2018 s 50,90 % a v roku 2022 so 61,10 %. Koalícia Team Bratislava, PS, SaS a Demokrati proti nemu kandidáta nepostavila. Juraj Ondruška bol v roku 2018 druhý so 43,92 % a v roku 2022 tretí s 18,47 %. Tretím kandidátom je nováčik Juraj Zeman; obaja vyzývatelia kandidujú ako nezávislí a delia si hlasy odporcov starostu.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.teraz.sk/komunalne-volby-2026/v-bratislavskych-vajnoroch-su-traja-st/991089-clanok.html"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Michal Vlček",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 49.1,
     "mean": 49.2,
     "lo80": 17.3,
     "hi80": 81.6,
     "p_win": 0.5965,
     "p_win_blind": 0.5965,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 49.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.602,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.611
    },
    {
     "name": "Juraj Ondruška",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 24.9,
     "mean": 29.4,
     "lo80": 6.4,
     "hi80": 60.4,
     "p_win": 0.2579,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2579,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 24.8,
     "fund_p_win": 0.2542,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.1847
    },
    {
     "name": "Juraj Zeman",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 16.3,
     "mean": 21.4,
     "lo80": 4.0,
     "hi80": 46.9,
     "p_win": 0.1457,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1457,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 16.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1437,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-karlova-ves",
   "name": "Karlova Ves",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 30563,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Dana Čahojová",
    "since": 2014,
    "party_2022": "STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI",
    "running_2026": false
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 38.27,
     "registered_voters": 30563,
     "valid_votes": 11040,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Dana Čahojová",
       "party": "STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI",
       "votes": 9434,
       "pct": 85.45
      },
      {
       "name": "Branislav Rusnák",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 822,
       "pct": 7.44
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Krošlák",
       "party": "SME RODINA, ZA ĽUDÍ, SZÖVETSÉG - ALIANCIA",
       "votes": 427,
       "pct": 3.86
      },
      {
       "name": "Ľubica Cintulová",
       "party": "Hnutie ONÁS",
       "votes": 357,
       "pct": 3.23
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 41.79,
     "registered_voters": 31428,
     "valid_votes": 12432,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Dana Čahojová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 8579,
       "pct": 69.0
      },
      {
       "name": "Anton Šmotlák",
       "party": "SaS, KDH, SME RODINA, OKS",
       "votes": 3504,
       "pct": 28.18
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Kadnár",
       "party": "NEKA (withdrew; marked X by ŠÚ)",
       "votes": 349,
       "pct": 2.8
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)"
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starostka Dana Čahojová, ktorá vyhrala v roku 2018 s 69,0 % a v roku 2022 s 85,5 %, nekandiduje a podporuje svojho zástupcu Branislava Záhradníka (SaNK). Martina Viciana nominujú Team Bratislava, PS, SaS a Demokrati a osobne ho podporuje primátor Matúš Vallo. Kandidujú len títo dvaja. Čahojová je v dlhodobom spore s klubom Team Bratislava v miestnom zastupiteľstve, ktorý vedie Vician.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.csv ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/opendata/oso/2022/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.csv",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/OSO_2018_xlsx.zip (OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx results; OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx turnout)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/udalost/komunalne-volby-2026/bratislavsky-kraj/bratislava-karlova-ves-529397/",
    "https://www.teraz.sk/komunalne-volby-2026/v-bratislavskej-karlovej-vsi-kandiduju/990638-clanok.html"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Martin Vician",
     "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, Sloboda a solidarita, Demokrati",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 52.3,
     "mean": 51.9,
     "lo80": 16.6,
     "hi80": 86.1,
     "p_win": 0.5264,
     "p_win_blind": 0.5264,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 59.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.6201,
     "swing": 0.05,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Branislav Záhradník",
     "party": "Starostovia a nezávislí kandidáti",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 47.7,
     "mean": 48.1,
     "lo80": 13.9,
     "hi80": 83.4,
     "p_win": 0.4736,
     "p_win_blind": 0.4736,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 40.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.3799,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.3,
     "adj_reason": "Vicestarosta, ktorého verejne podporuje odchádzajúca starostka Čahojová (2022: 85,5 %).",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-dubravka",
   "name": "Dúbravka",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 30999,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Martin Zaťovič",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "SOM Slovensko",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 35.91,
     "registered_voters": 30999,
     "valid_votes": 10577,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Martin Zaťovič",
       "party": "SOM Slovensko",
       "votes": 8572,
       "pct": 81.04
      },
      {
       "name": "Marek Dinuš",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2005,
       "pct": 18.95
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529389.json, graph01/529389.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 39.93,
     "registered_voters": 31247,
     "valid_votes": 12124,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Martin Zaťovič",
       "party": "SaS, OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti (OĽANO), KDH, SME RODINA - Boris Kollár, OKS, NOVA, Zmena zdola, DÚ",
       "votes": 11007,
       "pct": 90.78
      },
      {
       "name": "Iveta Petrušková",
       "party": "SMER-SD, SNS",
       "votes": 1117,
       "pct": 9.21
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529389.json, graph01/529389.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Martin Zaťovič (Som Slovensko) je jediným kandidátom, takže voľbu vyhrá. V roku 2018 získal 90,78 % a v roku 2022 81,04 %.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529389.json, graph01/529389.json)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529389.json, graph01/529389.json)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.dubravka.sk/files/documents/samosprava/volby/2026%20samospravy/zoznam-zaregistrovaneho-kandidata-na-starostu-2026.pdf",
    "https://www.dubravka.sk/sk/Samosprava/Samosprava1/Volby/volby-do-organov-samospravy-obci-a-samospravnych-krajov-2026.html"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Martin Zaťovič",
     "party": "Som Slovensko - strana obcí a miest",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 100.0,
     "mean": 100.0,
     "lo80": 100.0,
     "hi80": 100.0,
     "p_win": 1.0,
     "p_win_blind": 1.0,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 100.0,
     "fund_p_win": 1.0,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.8104
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-lamac",
   "name": "Lamač",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 6529,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Igor Polakovič",
    "since": 2022,
    "party_2022": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, SaS",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 48.13,
     "registered_voters": 6529,
     "valid_votes": 2951,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Igor Polakovič",
       "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, SaS",
       "votes": 1161,
       "pct": 39.34
      },
      {
       "name": "Lukáš Baňacký",
       "party": "SOM Slovensko",
       "votes": 886,
       "pct": 30.02
      },
      {
       "name": "Radoslav Olekšák",
       "party": "Hlas - sociálna demokracia, SMER - SD, SNS",
       "votes": 523,
       "pct": 17.72
      },
      {
       "name": "Mária Šimončičová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 381,
       "pct": 12.91
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529419.json, graph01/529419.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 52.82,
     "registered_voters": 6346,
     "valid_votes": 3221,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Lukáš Baňacký",
       "party": "SaS, OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti (OĽANO), KDH, SME RODINA - Boris Kollár, OKS, NOVA, Zmena zdola, DÚ",
       "votes": 1498,
       "pct": 46.5
      },
      {
       "name": "Radoslav Olekšák",
       "party": "NF",
       "votes": 925,
       "pct": 28.71
      },
      {
       "name": "Katarína Boskovičová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 514,
       "pct": 15.95
      },
      {
       "name": "Richard Sporina",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 153,
       "pct": 4.75
      },
      {
       "name": "Marian Bukoven",
       "party": "SNJ-sv",
       "votes": 131,
       "pct": 4.06
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529419.json, graph01/529419.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Igor Polakovič (Team Bratislava, PS, SaS, Demokrati) vyhral v roku 2022 s 39,34 % spomedzi štyroch kandidátov. Jedinou protikandidátkou je nezávislá Mária Šimončičová, ktorá bola v roku 2022 štvrtá s 12,91 %. Bývalý starosta Baňacký (30,02 %) ani kandidát Hlasu, Smeru a SNS Olekšák (17,72 %) tentoraz nekandidujú, takže približne 48 % hlasov z roku 2022 nemá vlastného kandidáta.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529419.json, graph01/529419.json)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529419.json, graph01/529419.json)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.lamac.sk/files/documents/zverejnovanie/volby/komunalne/2026/starosta_zoznam-reg.-kandidatov.pdf",
    "https://www.lamac.sk/samosprava/zverejnovanie/uradna-tabula/zoznam-zaregistrovanych-kandidatov-pre-volby-24-oktobra-2026"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Igor Polakovič",
     "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, Sloboda a solidarita, Demokrati",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 66.6,
     "mean": 62.7,
     "lo80": 26.5,
     "hi80": 91.8,
     "p_win": 0.6953,
     "p_win_blind": 0.6953,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 66.6,
     "fund_p_win": 0.7003,
     "swing": 0.05,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.3934
    },
    {
     "name": "Mária Šimončičová",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislá kandidátka)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 33.4,
     "mean": 37.3,
     "lo80": 8.2,
     "hi80": 73.5,
     "p_win": 0.3047,
     "p_win_blind": 0.3047,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 33.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.2997,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.1291
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-devin",
   "name": "Devín",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 1541,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Jana Jakubkovič",
    "since": 2022,
    "party_2022": "NEKA",
    "running_2026": false
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 55.35,
     "registered_voters": 1541,
     "valid_votes": 837,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Jana Jakubkovič",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 364,
       "pct": 43.48
      },
      {
       "name": "Igor Prieložný",
       "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, SaS",
       "votes": 252,
       "pct": 30.1
      },
      {
       "name": "Štefan Lőrinc",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 132,
       "pct": 15.77
      },
      {
       "name": "Anton Martvoň",
       "party": "Hlas - sociálna demokracia",
       "votes": 54,
       "pct": 6.45
      },
      {
       "name": "Rastislav Kunst",
       "party": "SME RODINA, ZA ĽUDÍ, DOBRÁ VOĽBA a Umiernení, SZÖVETSÉG - ALIANCIA",
       "votes": 35,
       "pct": 4.18
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529401.json, graph01/529401.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 57.56,
     "registered_voters": 1447,
     "valid_votes": 798,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Ľubica Kolková",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 489,
       "pct": 61.27
      },
      {
       "name": "Andrea Denková",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 309,
       "pct": 38.72
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529401.json, graph01/529401.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starostka Jana Jakubkovič po jednom období nekandiduje. Igor Prieložný (Team Bratislava, PS, SaS, Demokrati) bol v roku 2022 druhý s 30,10 % a je jediným kandidátom s výsledkom z minulých volieb. Martin Galát je zástupcom starostky a kandiduje ako nezávislý; nie je známe, či ho Jakubkovič podporila. Tretím kandidátom je nezávislý podnikateľ Pavol Maruščák.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529401.json, graph01/529401.json)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529401.json, graph01/529401.json)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.devin.sk/data/page/devin.sk/31498/zoznam-kandidatov-pre-volby-starostu-mestskej-casti-bratislava-devin.pdf",
    "https://www.tasr.sk/tasr-clanok/TASR:2026090700000212"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Igor Prieložný",
     "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, Sloboda a solidarita, Demokrati",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 32.5,
     "mean": 36.1,
     "lo80": 9.5,
     "hi80": 68.7,
     "p_win": 0.3794,
     "p_win_blind": 0.3794,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 32.8,
     "fund_p_win": 0.3876,
     "swing": 0.05,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.301
    },
    {
     "name": "Martin Galát",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 31.1,
     "mean": 34.9,
     "lo80": 8.9,
     "hi80": 67.4,
     "p_win": 0.3614,
     "p_win_blind": 0.3614,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 31.0,
     "fund_p_win": 0.3554,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Pavol Maruščák",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 24.3,
     "mean": 29.0,
     "lo80": 6.5,
     "hi80": 59.7,
     "p_win": 0.2591,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2591,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 24.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.257,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-devinska-nova-ves",
   "name": "Devínska Nová Ves",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 14281,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Dárius Krajčír",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "SOM Slovensko",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 39.5,
     "registered_voters": 14281,
     "valid_votes": 5363,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Dárius Krajčír",
       "party": "SOM Slovensko",
       "votes": 4287,
       "pct": 79.93
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Žatko",
       "party": "SME RODINA, KDH, ZA ĽUDÍ, DOBRÁ VOĽBA a Umiernení, SPOLU",
       "votes": 1076,
       "pct": 20.06
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529371.json, graph01/529371.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 44.29,
     "registered_voters": 14543,
     "valid_votes": 6255,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Dárius Krajčír",
       "party": "SaS, SME RODINA - Boris Kollár, NOVA",
       "votes": 3170,
       "pct": 50.67
      },
      {
       "name": "Rastislav Tešovič",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2093,
       "pct": 33.46
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Hanulík",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 536,
       "pct": 8.56
      },
      {
       "name": "Denis Ružovič",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 298,
       "pct": 4.76
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Bavolár",
       "party": "Slovenská ľudová strana (SĽS)",
       "votes": 158,
       "pct": 2.52
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529371.json, graph01/529371.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Dárius Krajčír (Som Slovensko) vyhral v roku 2018 s 50,67 % a v roku 2022 so 79,93 %. Proti nemu kandidujú nezávislý Ľuboš Krajčír s rovnakým priezviskom a Denis Ružovič (Strana vidieka), ktorý mal v roku 2018 4,76 %. Kandidáta nemá koalícia primátora Matúša Valla ani Smer či Hlas.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529371.json, graph01/529371.json)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529371.json, graph01/529371.json)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.devinskanovaves.sk/data/page/devinskanovaves.sk/31556/zoznam-zaregistrovanych-kandidatov-pre-volby-starostu_.pdf"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Dárius Krajčír",
     "party": "Som Slovensko - strana obcí a miest",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 60.0,
     "mean": 57.6,
     "lo80": 24.2,
     "hi80": 87.1,
     "p_win": 0.7198,
     "p_win_blind": 0.7198,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 59.8,
     "fund_p_win": 0.7247,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.7993
    },
    {
     "name": "Ľuboš Krajčír",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 19.8,
     "mean": 25.1,
     "lo80": 4.8,
     "hi80": 54.5,
     "p_win": 0.1888,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1888,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 20.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1825,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Denis Ružovič",
     "party": "Strana vidieka",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 12.2,
     "mean": 17.3,
     "lo80": 2.9,
     "hi80": 39.5,
     "p_win": 0.0913,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0913,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 12.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0928,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-zahorska-bystrica",
   "name": "Záhorská Bystrica",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 5154,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Jozef Krúpa",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "SOM Slovensko",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 52.67,
     "registered_voters": 5154,
     "valid_votes": 2494,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Jozef Krúpa",
       "party": "SOM Slovensko",
       "votes": 2117,
       "pct": 84.88
      },
      {
       "name": "Róbert Martauz",
       "party": "NK/NEKA",
       "votes": 377,
       "pct": 15.11
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529427.json, graph01/529427.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 62.06,
     "registered_voters": 4360,
     "valid_votes": 2648,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Jozef Krúpa",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1605,
       "pct": 60.61
      },
      {
       "name": "Ivan Bošňák",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1043,
       "pct": 39.38
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529427.json, graph01/529427.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Jozef Krúpa (Som Slovensko) je jediným kandidátom, takže voľbu vyhrá. V roku 2018 získal 60,61 % a v roku 2022 84,88 %.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529427.json, graph01/529427.json)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529427.json, graph01/529427.json)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://zahorskabystrica.sk/zoznam-zaregistrovanych-kandidatov-pre-volby-starostu-a-poslancov-miestneho-zastupitelstva/"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Jozef Krúpa",
     "party": "Som Slovensko – strana obcí a miest",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 100.0,
     "mean": 100.0,
     "lo80": 100.0,
     "hi80": 100.0,
     "p_win": 1.0,
     "p_win_blind": 1.0,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 100.0,
     "fund_p_win": 1.0,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.8488
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-petrzalka",
   "name": "Petržalka",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 97824,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Ján Hrčka",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "NEKA",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 32.23,
     "registered_voters": 97824,
     "valid_votes": 29949,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Ján Hrčka",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 23120,
       "pct": 77.19
      },
      {
       "name": "Elena Pätoprstá",
       "party": "Zmena zdola, DÚ",
       "votes": 4172,
       "pct": 13.93
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Kližan",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2657,
       "pct": 8.87
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529460.json, graph01/529460.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 34.59,
     "registered_voters": 97779,
     "valid_votes": 32614,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Ján Hrčka",
       "party": "SaS, NOVA, KDH, OKS, SME RODINA - Boris Kollár",
       "votes": 10659,
       "pct": 32.68
      },
      {
       "name": "Tatiana Kratochvílová",
       "party": "Progresívne Slovensko, SPOLU",
       "votes": 5640,
       "pct": 17.29
      },
      {
       "name": "Oliver Kríž",
       "party": "MLADÁ PETRŽALKA - lokálna strana",
       "votes": 3879,
       "pct": 11.89
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Bučan",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3489,
       "pct": 10.69
      },
      {
       "name": "Ľudmila Farkašovská",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3023,
       "pct": 9.26
      },
      {
       "name": "Elena Pätoprstá",
       "party": "Zmena zdola, DÚ, OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti (OĽANO)",
       "votes": 2908,
       "pct": 8.91
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Dragun",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1626,
       "pct": 4.98
      },
      {
       "name": "Marián Chmelár",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 916,
       "pct": 2.8
      },
      {
       "name": "Marian Greksa",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 368,
       "pct": 1.12
      },
      {
       "name": "Tomáš Szmrecsányi",
       "party": "NÁRODNÁ KOALÍCIA",
       "votes": 106,
       "pct": 0.32
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529460.json, graph01/529460.json)",
     "note": "ŠÚ SR marks Marian Greksa with 'X' (withdrew/kandidatúra zanikla); votes still listed. valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Ján Hrčka vyhral v roku 2022 so 77,19 %, v roku 2025 sa vzdal mandátu po sprenevere približne 2,7 milióna eur zamestnancom miestneho úradu a v doplňujúcich voľbách ho obhájil so 78,58 %. Teraz kandiduje za novú stranu Krajina, ktorú podporujú aj predstavitelia KDH, KÚ, Za ľudí a NOVA. Prvýkrát proti nemu stojí kandidát koalície Team Bratislava, PS, SaS a Demokrati, politológ Daniel Klimovský. Tretím kandidátom je Juraj Mravec, ktorého Hrčka porazil v roku 2025.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529460.json, graph01/529460.json)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529460.json, graph01/529460.json)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.bratislavak.sk/komunalne-volby/bratislava-petrzalka",
    "https://www.petrzalka.sk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/2026-10_web-1.pdf",
    "https://www.petrzalka.sk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Rozdelenie-plagatovych-ploch-DK-Zrkadlovy-haj.pdf"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Ján Hrčka",
     "party": "Krajina",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 56.0,
     "mean": 54.6,
     "lo80": 21.6,
     "hi80": 85.3,
     "p_win": 0.6788,
     "p_win_blind": 0.6788,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 55.8,
     "fund_p_win": 0.6836,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.7719
    },
    {
     "name": "Juraj Mravec",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 19.4,
     "mean": 24.7,
     "lo80": 4.8,
     "hi80": 53.5,
     "p_win": 0.1852,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1852,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 19.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1845,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": "V doplňujúcich voľbách 6. 9. 2025 získal asi 21,4 % proti Hrčkovi (dopočet 100 − 78,58).",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.214
    },
    {
     "name": "Daniel Klimovský",
     "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, Sloboda a solidarita, Demokrati",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 15.4,
     "mean": 20.7,
     "lo80": 3.7,
     "hi80": 46.6,
     "p_win": 0.1361,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1361,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 15.5,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1319,
     "swing": 0.05,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-jarovce",
   "name": "Jarovce",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 2149,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Jozef Uhler",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "NEKA",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 53.32,
     "registered_voters": 2149,
     "valid_votes": 1009,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Jozef Uhler",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1009,
       "pct": 100.0
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529443.json, graph01/529443.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 62.56,
     "registered_voters": 1867,
     "valid_votes": 1049,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Jozef Uhler",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 749,
       "pct": 71.4
      },
      {
       "name": "Pavel Škodler",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 259,
       "pct": 24.69
      },
      {
       "name": "Albín Valovič",
       "party": "NAJ",
       "votes": 41,
       "pct": 3.9
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529443.json, graph01/529443.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Jozef Uhler (nezávislý) je jediným kandidátom, takže voľbu vyhrá. V roku 2018 získal 71,40 % a v roku 2022 nemal protikandidáta.",
   "sources": [
    "https://bratislavskevolby.sk/aktuality/kandidati-na-starostu-v-deviatich-mestskych-castiach",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529443.json, graph01/529443.json)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529443.json, graph01/529443.json)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.bratislavak.sk/komunalne-volby/bratislava-petrzalka"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Jozef Uhler",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 100.0,
     "mean": 100.0,
     "lo80": 100.0,
     "hi80": 100.0,
     "p_win": 1.0,
     "p_win_blind": 1.0,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 100.0,
     "fund_p_win": 1.0,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 1.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-rusovce",
   "name": "Rusovce",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 3456,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Radovan Jenčík",
    "since": 2022,
    "party_2022": "NEKA",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 55.98,
     "registered_voters": 3456,
     "valid_votes": 1836,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Radovan Jenčík",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1101,
       "pct": 59.96
      },
      {
       "name": "Lucia Tuleková Henčelová",
       "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko",
       "votes": 735,
       "pct": 40.03
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529494.json, graph01/529494.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 60.14,
     "registered_voters": 3350,
     "valid_votes": 1950,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Lucia Tuleková Henčelová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 990,
       "pct": 50.76
      },
      {
       "name": "Dušan Antoš",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 960,
       "pct": 49.23
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529494.json, graph01/529494.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starosta Radovan Jenčík (nezávislý) je jediným kandidátom, takže voľbu vyhrá. V roku 2022 získal 59,96 % proti vtedajšej starostke Lucii Tulekovej Henčelovej, ktorá teraz kandiduje len do miestneho zastupiteľstva.",
   "sources": [
    "https://bratislavskevolby.sk/aktuality/kandidati-na-starostu-v-deviatich-mestskych-castiach",
    "https://hnonline.sk/volby-2026/komunalne-volby-2026/96308738-komunalne-volby-2026-bratislava-rusovce-kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-primatora-a-poslancov",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529494.json, graph01/529494.json)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529494.json, graph01/529494.json)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Radovan Jenčík",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 100.0,
     "mean": 100.0,
     "lo80": 100.0,
     "hi80": 100.0,
     "p_win": 1.0,
     "p_win_blind": 1.0,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 100.0,
     "fund_p_win": 1.0,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.5996
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mc-cunovo",
   "name": "Čunovo",
   "office": "starosta",
   "group": "mc",
   "voters": 1259,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Gabriela Ferenčáková",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "SOM Slovensko",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 62.82,
     "registered_voters": 1259,
     "valid_votes": 730,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Gabriela Ferenčáková",
       "party": "SOM Slovensko",
       "votes": 519,
       "pct": 71.09
      },
      {
       "name": "Richard Puchala",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 149,
       "pct": 20.41
      },
      {
       "name": "Michaela Forróová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 62,
       "pct": 8.49
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529435.json, graph01/529435.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 72.86,
     "registered_voters": 1194,
     "valid_votes": 849,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Gabriela Ferenčáková",
       "party": "SaS, OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti (OĽANO), KDH, SME RODINA - Boris Kollár, OKS, NOVA, Zmena zdola, DÚ",
       "votes": 535,
       "pct": 63.01
      },
      {
       "name": "Marián Krist",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 314,
       "pct": 36.98
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529435.json, graph01/529435.json)",
     "note": "valid_votes = valid ballots cast for starosta (C09); turnout_pct = ŠÚ SR účasť."
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Starostka Gabriela Ferenčáková (Som Slovensko) vyhrala v roku 2018 s 63,01 % a v roku 2022 so 71,09 %. Proti nej kandidujú štyria nezávislí: Ivan Boška, Marek Kausich, Marián Krist a Michal Šimunek. Výsledok z minulých volieb má len Krist, ktorý bol v roku 2018 druhý s 36,98 %. Pri relatívnej väčšine rozdelenie hlasov medzi štyroch vyzývateľov pomáha starostke.",
   "sources": [
    "https://bratislavskevolby.sk/aktuality/kandidati-na-starostu-v-deviatich-mestskych-castiach",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/sk/data02.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/json/tab05/529435.json, graph01/529435.json)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/sk/vysledky_obce.html (JSON: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/json/tab05/529435.json, graph01/529435.json)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/qXyfW7d/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-starostov-mestskych-casti-v-bratislave-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.topky.sk/cl/2005799/9524443/Komunalne-volby-2026---Bratislava-Cunovo--kandidati-na-starostu--poslanci-a-vysledky"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Gabriela Ferenčáková",
     "party": "Som Slovensko - strana obcí a miest",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 22.9,
     "mean": 27.1,
     "lo80": 6.9,
     "hi80": 54.3,
     "p_win": 0.3318,
     "p_win_blind": 0.3318,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 24.0,
     "fund_p_win": 0.3575,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.7109
    },
    {
     "name": "Marián Krist",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 17.4,
     "mean": 21.8,
     "lo80": 4.9,
     "hi80": 45.7,
     "p_win": 0.2303,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2303,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 13.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1609,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.3,
     "adj_reason": "V roku 2018 získal proti dnešnej starostke 36,98 %. V roku 2022 nekandidoval, preto tento výsledok v modeli nie je.",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Ivan Boška",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 12.8,
     "mean": 17.0,
     "lo80": 3.5,
     "hi80": 37.0,
     "p_win": 0.1441,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1441,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 13.5,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1625,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Marek Kausich",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 12.8,
     "mean": 17.1,
     "lo80": 3.5,
     "hi80": 37.4,
     "p_win": 0.1484,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1484,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 13.6,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1583,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Michal Šimunek",
     "party": "NEKA (nezávislý kandidát)",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 12.7,
     "mean": 16.9,
     "lo80": 3.5,
     "hi80": 36.8,
     "p_win": 0.1454,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1454,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 13.6,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1608,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mesto-bratislava",
   "name": "Bratislava",
   "office": "primator",
   "group": "mesto",
   "voters": 407992,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Matúš Vallo",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, SaS",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 36.9,
     "registered_voters": 407992,
     "valid_votes": 144486,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Matúš Vallo",
       "party": "Team Bratislava, PS, SaS",
       "votes": 86981,
       "pct": 60.2
      },
      {
       "name": "Rudolf Kusý",
       "party": "SME RODINA, KDH, ZA ĽUDÍ, DOBRÁ VOĽBA a Umiernení, SZÖVETSÉG - ALIANCIA",
       "votes": 40063,
       "pct": 27.7
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Heredoš",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 6239,
       "pct": 4.3
      },
      {
       "name": "Andrej Trnovec",
       "party": "SĽS",
       "votes": 3446,
       "pct": 2.4
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Mlýnek",
       "party": "NOVA, OKS, Zmena zdola, DÚ, OĽANO-NOVA-KÚ-ZMENA ZDOLA",
       "votes": 3005,
       "pct": 2.1
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Jakubec",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 2017,
       "pct": 1.4
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Vetrík",
       "party": "ŽIVOT",
       "votes": 1162,
       "pct": 0.8
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Poláček",
       "party": "Hnutie ONÁS",
       "votes": 942,
       "pct": 0.7
      },
      {
       "name": "Milena Minichová",
       "party": "SMS",
       "votes": 631,
       "pct": 0.4
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://www.topky.sk/cl/2005799/9524409/Komunalne-volby-2026---Bratislava--kandidati-na-primatora--poslanci-a-vysledky (cites ŠÚ SR); valid votes + turnout 36.88 % confirmed at https://bratislava.sk/spravy/vysledky-komunalnych-volieb"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 40.67,
     "registered_voters": 402062,
     "valid_votes": 160304,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Matúš Vallo",
       "party": "Progresívne Slovensko, SPOLU",
       "votes": 58578,
       "pct": 36.54
      },
      {
       "name": "Václav Mika",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 36661,
       "pct": 22.86
      },
      {
       "name": "Ivo Nesrovnal",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 29531,
       "pct": 18.42
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Mrva",
       "party": "OĽANO, SaS, SME RODINA, KDH, OKS, NOVA, Zmena zdola, DÚ",
       "votes": 27689,
       "pct": 17.27
      },
      {
       "name": "Iveta Plšeková",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2445,
       "pct": 1.52
      },
      {
       "name": "Roman Ruhig",
       "party": "SNJ-sv",
       "votes": 2010,
       "pct": 1.25
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Vetrík",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1204,
       "pct": 0.75
      },
      {
       "name": "Andrej Trnovec",
       "party": "SĽS",
       "votes": 886,
       "pct": 0.55
      },
      {
       "name": "Viktor Béreš",
       "party": "NAJ, Mladí ľudia",
       "votes": 805,
       "pct": 0.5
      },
      {
       "name": "Jaroslav Brada",
       "party": "SMS",
       "votes": 495,
       "pct": 0.3
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bx.xlsx"
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "SANEP",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-05-27",
     "n": null,
     "sponsor": "TA3",
     "results": {
      "Matúš Vallo": 41.3,
      "Martin Winkler": 14.4
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://bratislavskevolby.sk/aktuality/co-ukazali-prieskumy-vallo-winkler-raz",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "Ixactly",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-06-03",
     "n": null,
     "sponsor": "unknown (published via SITA 2026-06-05)",
     "results": {
      "Matúš Vallo": 39.5,
      "Jozef Ráž": 17.9,
      "Martin Winkler": 13.4
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://bratislavskevolby.sk/aktuality/co-ukazali-prieskumy-vallo-winkler-raz",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "Communications & Campaigns",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-07-07",
     "n": 1000,
     "sponsor": "SITA",
     "results": {
      "Matúš Vallo": 37.4,
      "Martin Winkler": 18.5,
      "Jozef Ráž": 18.1,
      "Zuzana Šubová": 4.3,
      "Miroslav Heredoš": 1.7
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://sita.sk/ma-v-bratislave-silnejsiu-poziciu-raz-alebo-winkler-prieskum-ukazal-kto-by-vyhral-volby/",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "SCIO",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-11",
     "n": 92,
     "sponsor": "Startitup (exclusive)",
     "results": {
      "Matúš Vallo": 26.09,
      "Jozef Ráž": 11.96,
      "Martin Winkler": 4.35,
      "Miroslav Heredoš": 2.17
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.startitup.sk/exkluzivny-prieskum-81-slovakov-sa-zucastni-komunalnych-volieb-viac-ako-70-nevie-koho-bude-volit/",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "SANEP",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-04",
     "n": 1000,
     "sponsor": "Kanal1",
     "results": {
      "Matúš Vallo": 43.2,
      "Jozef Ráž": 40.6,
      "Zuzana Šubová": 11.6,
      "Ľubomír Geci": 4.6
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://kanal1.sk/exkluzivny-prieskum-pre-kanal1-kto-by-sa-stal-primatorom-bratislavy-a-kto-by-viedol-bratislavsky-kraj-keby-sa-volby-konali-dnes/",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "Ixactly",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-11",
     "n": 624,
     "sponsor": "TV Markíza",
     "results": {
      "Matúš Vallo": 47.3,
      "Jozef Ráž": 32.7,
      "Zuzana Šubová": 3.7,
      "Ľubomír Geci": 2.6
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://regiony.zoznam.sk/budu-mat-bratislava-a-kosice-novych-primatorov-novy-prieskum-ukazal-pozoruhodne-cisla/",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "AKO",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-10",
     "n": null,
     "sponsor": "JOJ 24",
     "results": {
      "Matúš Vallo": 49.3,
      "Jozef Ráž": 42.3,
      "Zuzana Šubová": 5.4,
      "Ľubomír Geci": 3.0
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.sme.sk/domov/c/vallo-vs-raz-moze-to-byt-tesnejsi-suboj-ako-sa-cakalo-do-moratoria-sa-stretnu-v-dueli-vyjde-aj-prieskum",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Matúš Vallo": 1.04,
      "Jozef Ráž": 9.0,
      "Zuzana Šubová": 40.0,
      "Ľubomír Geci": 200.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-bratislavy-2026/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Matúš Vallo": 1.07,
      "Jozef Ráž": 7.0,
      "Zuzana Šubová": 50.0,
      "Ľubomír Geci": 180.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-bratislavy-2026/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Matúš Vallo": 1.05,
      "Jozef Ráž": 8.5,
      "Zuzana Šubová": 40.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.85,
    "poll_sd": 0.059,
    "n_polls": 7
   },
   "notes": "Primátor Matúš Vallo vyhral v roku 2022 so 60,2 % a teraz ho nominujú Team Bratislava, PS, SaS a Demokrati. Hlavný vyzývateľ, minister dopravy Jozef Ráž, kandiduje ako nezávislý, no je vnímaný ako kandidát Smeru. V jeho prospech odstúpil Martin Winkler (Dunaj) a Miroslav Heredoš odstúpil zo zdravotných dôvodov. Prieskumy sa rozchádzajú: SANEP dáva Vallovi náskok 2,6 percentuálneho bodu medzi rozhodnutými, Ixactly 14,6 bodu. Stávkové kancelárie dávajú Vallovi pravdepodobnosť výhry približne 93 až 96 %.",
   "sources": [
    "https://banm.sk/data/advertisement/banm.sk/532442/204469_Zoznam%20zaregistrovan%C3%BDch%20kandid%C3%A1tov%20pre%20vo%C4%BEby%20prim%C3%A1tora%20mesta%20Bratislava.pdf",
    "https://bratislavskevolby.sk/aktuality/co-ukazali-prieskumy-vallo-winkler-raz",
    "https://volby.sme.sk/komunalne-volby/2026/kandidati/bratislava-okres/bratislava/primatori",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bx.xlsx",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/xczK1TB/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-primatora-mesta-bratislava-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.topky.sk/cl/2005799/9524409/Komunalne-volby-2026---Bratislava--kandidati-na-primatora--poslanci-a-vysledky (cites ŠÚ SR); valid votes + turnout 36.88 % confirmed at https://bratislava.sk/spravy/vysledky-komunalnych-volieb"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [
    {
     "name": "Miroslav Heredoš",
     "transfer_to": null
    },
    {
     "name": "Martin Winkler",
     "transfer_to": "Jozef Ráž"
    }
   ],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Matúš Vallo",
     "party": "Team Bratislava, Progresívne Slovensko, Sloboda a solidarita, Demokrati",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 53.0,
     "mean": 52.8,
     "lo80": 37.1,
     "hi80": 68.2,
     "p_win": 0.8771,
     "p_win_blind": 0.7714,
     "p_win_market": 0.9328,
     "fund_share": 68.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.8595,
     "swing": 0.05,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.602
    },
    {
     "name": "Jozef Ráž",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 34.7,
     "mean": 35.4,
     "lo80": 21.1,
     "hi80": 50.5,
     "p_win": 0.1218,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2286,
     "p_win_market": 0.0604,
     "fund_share": 9.8,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0696,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": "Formálne nezávislý, ale minister dopravy nominovaný Smerom. V simulácii ho zaraďujeme k vládnemu bloku pre spoločnú odchýlku; podiel neupravujeme.",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Zuzana Šubová",
     "party": "Pirátska strana - Slovensko",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 7.0,
     "mean": 7.6,
     "lo80": 4.1,
     "hi80": 11.8,
     "p_win": 0.0008,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0063,
     "fund_share": 7.6,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0425,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Ľubomír Geci",
     "party": "MySlovensko",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 3.9,
     "mean": 4.2,
     "lo80": 2.2,
     "hi80": 6.7,
     "p_win": 0.0003,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0009,
     "fund_share": 6.0,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0284,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mesto-kosice",
   "name": "Košice",
   "office": "primator",
   "group": "mesto",
   "voters": 194674,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Jaroslav Polaček",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "KDH, SaS, SME RODINA, NOVA, SZÖVETSÉG - ALIANCIA, SRK, DOBRÁ VOĽBA a Umiernení, OĽANO-NOVA-KÚ-ZMENA ZDOLA",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 30.9,
     "registered_voters": 194674,
     "valid_votes": 55884,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Jaroslav Polaček",
       "party": "KDH, SaS, SME RODINA, NOVA, SZÖVETSÉG - ALIANCIA, SRK, DOBRÁ VOĽBA a Umiernení, OĽANO-NOVA-KÚ-ZMENA ZDOLA",
       "votes": 20561,
       "pct": 36.8
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Lesňák",
       "party": "ZA ĽUDÍ",
       "votes": 11849,
       "pct": 21.2
      },
      {
       "name": "Miloslav Klíma",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 10655,
       "pct": 19.1
      },
      {
       "name": "Monika Kováčová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 4322,
       "pct": 7.7
      },
      {
       "name": "Štefan Lasky",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 4178,
       "pct": 7.5
      },
      {
       "name": "Viliam Novotný",
       "party": "SPOLU, DS, ŠANCA, ODS",
       "votes": 2453,
       "pct": 4.4
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Karabin",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1062,
       "pct": 1.9
      },
      {
       "name": "Jaroslav Džunko",
       "party": "SMS",
       "votes": 804,
       "pct": 1.4
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://www.topky.sk/cl/2005799/9529345/Komunalne-volby-2026---Kosice--kandidati-na-primatora--poslanci-a-vysledky (cites ŠÚ SR); valid_votes = sum of candidate votes"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 35.71,
     "registered_voters": 197859,
     "valid_votes": 67348,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Jaroslav Polaček",
       "party": "SaS, KDH, SMK-MKP, NOVA, OKS",
       "votes": 29157,
       "pct": 43.29
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Petruško",
       "party": "SMER-SD, SNS",
       "votes": 16044,
       "pct": 23.82
      },
      {
       "name": "Alena Bašistová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 10001,
       "pct": 14.84
      },
      {
       "name": "Viliam Novotný",
       "party": "ŠANCA",
       "votes": 6084,
       "pct": 9.03
      },
      {
       "name": "Vladimír Vágási",
       "party": "MOST - HÍD",
       "votes": 1325,
       "pct": 1.96
      },
      {
       "name": "Džemal Kodrazi",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1061,
       "pct": 1.57
      },
      {
       "name": "Štefan Horváth",
       "party": "NÁRODNÁ KOALÍCIA",
       "votes": 733,
       "pct": 1.08
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Špak",
       "party": "NEKA (withdrew)",
       "votes": 645,
       "pct": 0.95
      },
      {
       "name": "Jaroslav Džunko",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 622,
       "pct": 0.92
      },
      {
       "name": "Milan Lesňák",
       "party": "NEKA (withdrew)",
       "votes": 493,
       "pct": 0.73
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Dečo",
       "party": "NEKA (withdrew)",
       "votes": 432,
       "pct": 0.64
      },
      {
       "name": "Richard Havrilla",
       "party": "NEKA (withdrew)",
       "votes": 414,
       "pct": 0.61
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Struk",
       "party": "SMS",
       "votes": 337,
       "pct": 0.5
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bx.xlsx (ŠÚ marks Špak, Lesňák, Dečo, Havrilla with 'X' = withdrawn)"
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "KEE spol. s r.o.",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-14",
     "n": 754,
     "sponsor": "published by KEE spol. s r.o. (paid 'informačný servis' on SITA; client unknown)",
     "results": {
      "Ladislav Lörinc": 23.21,
      "Lenka Kovačevičová": 20.69,
      "Jaroslav Polaček": 19.36,
      "Martin Mudrák": 18.44,
      "Ladislav Lörincz": 3.98,
      "Alexander Riabov": 2.65,
      "Miroslav Sabol": 1.19,
      "Alexander Székely": 0.93
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://sita.sk/prieskum-verejnej-mienky-a-pohlad-vyvoja-zvolitelnosti-na-kandidatov-na-primatora-mesta-kosice/",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "Focus",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-21",
     "n": 611,
     "sponsor": "Jaroslav Polaček campaign",
     "results": {
      "Jaroslav Polaček": 21.9,
      "Ladislav Lörinc": 20.3,
      "Martin Mudrák": 13.4,
      "Lenka Kovačevičová": 10.0
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://korzar.sme.sk/kosice/c/suboj-o-kosickeho-primatora-je-tesny-polacek-sa-v-novom-prieskume-dostal-pred-l-rinca",
     "partisan": true
    },
    {
     "pollster": "Focus",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-07",
     "n": 517,
     "sponsor": "Martin Mudrák campaign",
     "results": {
      "Ladislav Lörinc": 29.2,
      "Martin Mudrák": 21.3,
      "Jaroslav Polaček": 20.9,
      "Lenka Kovačevičová": 15.1,
      "Alexander Riabov": 7.3,
      "Miroslav Sabol": 2.8,
      "Ladislav Lörincz": 2.4,
      "Alexander Székely": 0.8
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://maxivyber.sk/slovensko/favoritom-volieb-primatora-kosic-je-podla-najnovsieho-prieskumu-ladislav-lorinc-polacek-je-az-treti",
     "partisan": true
    },
    {
     "pollster": "Ixactly",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-11",
     "n": 388,
     "sponsor": "TV Markíza",
     "results": {
      "Ladislav Lörinc": 18.3,
      "Martin Mudrák": 17.0,
      "Jaroslav Polaček": 16.5,
      "Lenka Kovačevičová": 9.0,
      "Alexander Riabov": 4.6,
      "Ladislav Lörincz": 2.8,
      "Miroslav Sabol": 2.8,
      "Alexander Székely": 1.8
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://regiony.zoznam.sk/budu-mat-bratislava-a-kosice-novych-primatorov-novy-prieskum-ukazal-pozoruhodne-cisla/",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "SANEP",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-18",
     "n": 650,
     "sponsor": "TA3",
     "results": {
      "Ladislav Lörinc": 27.5,
      "Jaroslav Polaček": 21.2,
      "Lenka Kovačevičová": 20.8,
      "Martin Mudrák": 18.1,
      "Alexander Riabov": 5.4,
      "Ladislav Lörincz": 3.1,
      "Miroslav Sabol": 2.6,
      "Alexander Székely": 1.3
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.pravda.sk/spravy/regionalne-volby-2026/clanok/2062305-prieskum-sanep-kto-ovladne-kosice-a-kto-zupu-novy-prieskum-odhalil-favoritov-v-hre-su-aj-tesne-suboje",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Ladislav Lörinc": 1.45,
      "Jaroslav Polaček": 2.8,
      "Martin Mudrák": 5.5,
      "Lenka Kovačevičová": 12.0,
      "Alexander Riabov": 120.0,
      "Miroslav Sabol": 200.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-kosic-2026/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Ladislav Lörinc": 1.55,
      "Jaroslav Polaček": 2.6,
      "Martin Mudrák": 6.0,
      "Lenka Kovačevičová": 12.0,
      "Alexander Riabov": 100.0,
      "Miroslav Sabol": 200.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-kosic-2026/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Ladislav Lörinc": 1.45,
      "Jaroslav Polaček": 2.5,
      "Martin Mudrák": 4.0,
      "Lenka Kovačevičová": 8.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-kosic-2026/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.848,
    "poll_sd": 0.059,
    "n_polls": 5
   },
   "notes": "Primátor Jaroslav Polaček (KDH, SaS, Maďarská aliancia a ďalší) vyhral v roku 2018 so 43,29 % a v roku 2022 s 36,8 %. Ladislav Lörinc (Košická strana), starosta Sídliska KVP, vedie v štyroch z piatich prieskumov a stávkové kancelárie ho považujú za favorita. Polaček je prvý len v prieskume agentúry Focus, ktorý si objednal jeho tím. Ďalšími kandidátmi sú Martin Mudrák (PS, Demokrati, Za ľudí) a Lenka Kovačevičová (Tím Košice, SaNK, Právo na pravdu); poradie na druhom až štvrtom mieste je v rámci štatistickej chyby. Vládne strany vlastného kandidáta nemajú.",
   "sources": [
    "https://static.kosice.sk/files/manual/volby/volby2026_zoznam_zaregistrovanych_primator.pdf",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bx.xlsx (ŠÚ marks Špak, Lesňák, Dečo, Havrilla with 'X' = withdrawn)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/W8n9gmb/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-primatorov-krajskych-miest-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.kosice.sk/obcan/komunalne-volby-2026",
    "https://www.topky.sk/cl/2005799/9529345/Komunalne-volby-2026---Kosice--kandidati-na-primatora--poslanci-a-vysledky (cites ŠÚ SR); valid_votes = sum of candidate votes"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Ladislav Lörinc",
     "party": "Košická strana",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 23.7,
     "mean": 24.4,
     "lo80": 15.3,
     "hi80": 34.5,
     "p_win": 0.4895,
     "p_win_blind": 0.3866,
     "p_win_market": 0.5831,
     "fund_share": 9.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1101,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": "Starosta mestskej časti Sídlisko KVP od 2018: rys 'úradujúci starosta inej samosprávy' (koeficient z dát).",
     "exec_office": true,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Jaroslav Polaček",
     "party": "KDH, Sloboda a solidarita, Magyar szövetség - Maďarská aliancia, Strana rómskej koalície - SRK, NOVA, Demokratická strana - Občianski demokrati Slovenska",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 23.6,
     "mean": 24.4,
     "lo80": 15.3,
     "hi80": 34.6,
     "p_win": 0.3262,
     "p_win_blind": 0.3855,
     "p_win_market": 0.2656,
     "fund_share": 29.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.532,
     "swing": 0.027,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.368
    },
    {
     "name": "Martin Mudrák",
     "party": "Progresívne Slovensko, Demokrati, Za ľudí",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 17.6,
     "mean": 18.3,
     "lo80": 11.0,
     "hi80": 26.6,
     "p_win": 0.1181,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1252,
     "p_win_market": 0.1089,
     "fund_share": 5.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.052,
     "swing": 0.041,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Lenka Kovačevičová",
     "party": "Tím Košice, Starostovia a nezávislí kandidáti, Právo na pravdu",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 16.7,
     "mean": 17.5,
     "lo80": 10.5,
     "hi80": 25.4,
     "p_win": 0.0655,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1027,
     "p_win_market": 0.0403,
     "fund_share": 11.8,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1564,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": "Starostka mestskej časti Nad jazerom od 2014: rys 'úradujúci starosta inej samosprávy' (koeficient z dát).",
     "exec_office": true,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Alexander Riabov",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 5.5,
     "mean": 5.9,
     "lo80": 3.3,
     "hi80": 9.0,
     "p_win": 0.0005,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0021,
     "fund_share": 6.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0536,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Ladislav Lörincz",
     "party": "Jednota Slovanov",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 3.5,
     "mean": 3.8,
     "lo80": 2.1,
     "hi80": 5.8,
     "p_win": 0.0,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 3.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0219,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Miroslav Sabol",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 3.3,
     "mean": 3.6,
     "lo80": 2.0,
     "hi80": 5.5,
     "p_win": 0.0003,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0009,
     "fund_share": 6.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0528,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Alexander Székely",
     "party": "Slovenské hnutie obrody",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 2.0,
     "mean": 2.1,
     "lo80": 1.2,
     "hi80": 3.2,
     "p_win": 0.0,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": null,
     "fund_share": 3.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0212,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mesto-banska-bystrica",
   "name": "Banská Bystrica",
   "office": "primator",
   "group": "mesto",
   "voters": 63163,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Ján Nosko",
    "since": 2014,
    "party_2022": "NEKA (supported by Hlas, Smer, SNS, Sme rodina per aktuality.sk)",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 39.8,
     "registered_voters": 63163,
     "valid_votes": 24556,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Ján Nosko",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 16248,
       "pct": 66.2
      },
      {
       "name": "Diana Javorčíková",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 6102,
       "pct": 24.8
      },
      {
       "name": "Daniel Karas",
       "party": "SMER - SD, REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 1660,
       "pct": 6.8
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Podhorský",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 331,
       "pct": 1.3
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Sásik",
       "party": "SĽS",
       "votes": 116,
       "pct": 0.5
      },
      {
       "name": "Anton Minárik",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 99,
       "pct": 0.4
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://www.topky.sk/cl/2005799/9526991/Komunalne-volby-2026---Banska-Bystrica--kandidati-na-primatora--poslanci-a-vysledky (cites ŠÚ SR); valid_votes = sum of candidate votes"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 37.93,
     "registered_voters": 65485,
     "valid_votes": 24312,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Ján Nosko",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 18281,
       "pct": 75.19
      },
      {
       "name": "Igor Kašper",
       "party": "SaS, OĽANO, KDH, SME RODINA, Progresívne Slovensko",
       "votes": 5490,
       "pct": 22.58
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Sásik",
       "party": "SĽS",
       "votes": 401,
       "pct": 1.64
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Peuker",
       "party": "NAJ",
       "votes": 140,
       "pct": 0.57
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx"
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "Focus",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-08-11",
     "n": 502,
     "sponsor": "Diana Javorčíková campaign",
     "results": {
      "Ján Nosko": 38.3,
      "Diana Javorčíková": 36.7,
      "Matúš Molitoris": 13.0,
      "Tomáš Sobota": 12.0
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.bystricak.sk/clanky/12698/suboj-o-primatora-banskej-bystrice-moze-byt-tesny-prieskum-ukazal-rozdiel-necele-dve-percenta",
     "partisan": true
    },
    {
     "pollster": "AKO",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-29",
     "n": 500,
     "sponsor": "BBonline.sk + BB FM rádio",
     "results": {
      "Ján Nosko": 38.7,
      "Diana Javorčíková": 35.5,
      "Matúš Molitoris": 12.9,
      "Tomáš Sobota": 10.0,
      "Marian Kotleba": 2.4,
      "Ondrej Vereš": 0.5
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://bbonline.sk/prieskum-ako-pre-bbonline-sk-volby-primatora-banskej-bystrice-prinesu-tesny-suboj-jana-noska-a-diany-javorcikovej/",
     "partisan": false
    },
    {
     "pollster": "SANEP",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-14",
     "n": 600,
     "sponsor": "TA3",
     "results": {
      "Ján Nosko": 40.9,
      "Diana Javorčíková": 34.1,
      "Matúš Molitoris": 18.6,
      "Marian Kotleba": 5.0,
      "Ondrej Vereš": 1.4
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.ta3.com/clanok/1077195/prieskum-pre-ta3-suboj-o-bansku-bystricu-sa-zamotava-jeden-z-kandidatov-vyrazne-stiahol-naskok-lidra",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Diana Javorčíková": 1.65,
      "Ján Nosko": 2.0,
      "Matúš Molitoris": 20.0,
      "Marian Kotleba": 88.0,
      "Ondrej Vereš": 150.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Diana Javorčíková": 1.7,
      "Ján Nosko": 1.9,
      "Matúš Molitoris": 25.0,
      "Marian Kotleba": 90.0,
      "Ondrej Vereš": 120.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Diana Javorčíková": 1.65,
      "Ján Nosko": 1.92,
      "Matúš Molitoris": 20.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.82,
    "poll_sd": 0.066,
    "n_polls": 3
   },
   "notes": "Primátor Ján Nosko je vo funkcii od roku 2014 a v roku 2022 vyhral so 66,2 % nad Dianou Javorčíkovou (24,8 %). Kandiduje ako nezávislý, predseda Hlasu Matúš Šutaj Eštok vyjadril ochotu ho podporiť. Javorčíkovú nominujú PS, SaS, Demokrati, Hnutie Slovensko a OKS a 8. októbra v jej prospech odstúpil Tomáš Sobota, ktorého podporovalo KDH. Nosko vedie vo všetkých štyroch prieskumoch o 1,6 až 11,4 bodu, no všetky tri stávkové kancelárie považujú za miernu favoritku Javorčíkovú. Hlasy odporcov primátora delí aj Matúš Molitoris s 12 až 19 %.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/CtAKOP1/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-primatora-mesta-banska-bystrica-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.banskabystrica.sk/samosprava/volby-2026/",
    "https://www.topky.sk/cl/2005799/9526991/Komunalne-volby-2026---Banska-Bystrica--kandidati-na-primatora--poslanci-a-vysledky",
    "https://www.topky.sk/cl/2005799/9526991/Komunalne-volby-2026---Banska-Bystrica--kandidati-na-primatora--poslanci-a-vysledky (cites ŠÚ SR); valid_votes = sum of candidate votes"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [
    {
     "name": "Tomáš Sobota",
     "transfer_to": "Diana Javorčíková"
    }
   ],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Ján Nosko",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 42.1,
     "mean": 42.5,
     "lo80": 27.8,
     "hi80": 57.6,
     "p_win": 0.5451,
     "p_win_blind": 0.6433,
     "p_win_market": 0.4411,
     "fund_share": 48.0,
     "fund_p_win": 0.6915,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.662
    },
    {
     "name": "Diana Javorčíková",
     "party": "Progresívne Slovensko, Sloboda a solidarita, Demokrati, Hnutie Slovensko, Občianska konzervatívna strana",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 33.6,
     "mean": 34.2,
     "lo80": 20.6,
     "hi80": 49.0,
     "p_win": 0.435,
     "p_win_blind": 0.3412,
     "p_win_market": 0.532,
     "fund_share": 14.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1545,
     "swing": 0.058,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.248
    },
    {
     "name": "Matúš Molitoris",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 15.3,
     "mean": 16.3,
     "lo80": 8.8,
     "hi80": 25.2,
     "p_win": 0.0188,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0155,
     "p_win_market": 0.0226,
     "fund_share": 10.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0996,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Marian Kotleba",
     "party": "Kotlebovci - Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 4.3,
     "mean": 4.7,
     "lo80": 2.4,
     "hi80": 7.6,
     "p_win": 0.0006,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.004,
     "fund_share": 5.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0279,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Ondrej Vereš",
     "party": "Strana vidieka",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 2.0,
     "mean": 2.2,
     "lo80": 1.1,
     "hi80": 3.6,
     "p_win": 0.0005,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0,
     "p_win_market": 0.0025,
     "fund_share": 5.5,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0266,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mesto-nitra",
   "name": "Nitra",
   "office": "primator",
   "group": "mesto",
   "voters": 66697,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Marek Hattas",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "Tím Kraj Nitra",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 40.4,
     "registered_voters": 66697,
     "valid_votes": 26534,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Marek Hattas",
       "party": "Tím Kraj Nitra",
       "votes": 8175,
       "pct": 30.8
      },
      {
       "name": "Igor Kršiak",
       "party": "Hlas-SD, SME RODINA, DOBRÁ VOĽBA a Umiernení, Demokrati Slovenska",
       "votes": 7220,
       "pct": 27.2
      },
      {
       "name": "Štefan Štefek",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 5299,
       "pct": 20.0
      },
      {
       "name": "Pavol Obertáš",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 4640,
       "pct": 17.5
      },
      {
       "name": "Erik Blaško",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 603,
       "pct": 2.3
      },
      {
       "name": "Dalimír Solčanský",
       "party": "REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 597,
       "pct": 2.2
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://www.topky.sk/cl/2005799/9525965/Komunalne-volby-2026---Nitra--kandidati-na-primatora--poslanci-a-vysledky (cites ŠÚ SR); valid_votes = sum of candidate votes"
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 43.11,
     "registered_voters": 68698,
     "valid_votes": 29289,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Marek Hattas",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 12385,
       "pct": 42.28
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Dvonč",
       "party": "SMER-SD, SNS",
       "votes": 6453,
       "pct": 22.03
      },
      {
       "name": "Štefan Štefek",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 4235,
       "pct": 14.45
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Oremus",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2174,
       "pct": 7.42
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Greššo",
       "party": "OĽANO, SaS, ŠANCA, SME RODINA, KDH",
       "votes": 2154,
       "pct": 7.35
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Kecskés",
       "party": "ĽS Pevnosť Slovensko",
       "votes": 692,
       "pct": 2.36
      },
      {
       "name": "Ľubomír Martinka",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 476,
       "pct": 1.62
      },
      {
       "name": "Renáta Kolenčíková",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 473,
       "pct": 1.61
      },
      {
       "name": "Michal Ivan",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 118,
       "pct": 0.4
      },
      {
       "name": "Róbert Sitár",
       "party": "NEKA (withdrew)",
       "votes": 83,
       "pct": 0.28
      },
      {
       "name": "Ladislav Németh",
       "party": "STS",
       "votes": 46,
       "pct": 0.15
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx"
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "Infostat",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-07-31",
     "n": 400,
     "sponsor": "published by Hattas (sponsor not stated)",
     "results": {
      "Marek Hattas": 33.0,
      "Igor Kršiak": 23.1
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.nitrak.sk/clanky/11830/najnovsi-prieskum-v-nitre-priniesol-tesny-suboj-o-primatora-krsiak-ma-pred-hattasom-naskok-len-o-desatinu-bodu",
     "partisan": true
    },
    {
     "pollster": "Focus",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-08-21",
     "n": 505,
     "sponsor": "published by Igor Kršiak (sponsor not stated)",
     "results": {
      "Igor Kršiak": 35.5,
      "Marek Hattas": 35.4,
      "Zuzana Uhríková": 7.6,
      "Marek Illéš": 6.4
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.nitrak.sk/clanky/11830/najnovsi-prieskum-v-nitre-priniesol-tesny-suboj-o-primatora-krsiak-ma-pred-hattasom-naskok-len-o-desatinu-bodu",
     "partisan": true
    },
    {
     "pollster": "AKO",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-09-24",
     "n": 400,
     "sponsor": "TV Nitrička",
     "results": {
      "Marek Hattas": 55.2,
      "Igor Kršiak": 32.5,
      "Zuzana Uhríková": 6.3,
      "Marek Illéš": 6.0
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://dennikn.sk/minuta/5615398/",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Marek Hattas": 1.25,
      "Igor Kršiak": 3.5,
      "Marek Illéš": 7.5,
      "Zuzana Uhríková": 88.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Marek Hattas": 1.2,
      "Igor Kršiak": 3.8,
      "Marek Illéš": 8.0,
      "Zuzana Uhríková": 80.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Marek Hattas": 1.29,
      "Igor Kršiak": 3.1,
      "Marek Illéš": 7.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.74,
    "poll_sd": 0.083,
    "n_polls": 3
   },
   "notes": "Primátor Marek Hattas vyhral v roku 2018 so 42,28 % a v roku 2022 s 30,8 %, teraz ho okrem Tímu kraj Nitra podporuje celá parlamentná opozícia. Hlavný vyzývateľ Igor Kršiak bol v roku 2022 druhý s 27,2 % s podporou Hlasu a Sme rodiny, teraz kandiduje ako nezávislý. Vládne strany majú dvoch kandidátov: Mareka Illéša (Smer, Hlas, Sme rodina) a Zuzanu Uhríkovú (Republika, SNS). Nezávislý prieskum AKO dáva Hattasovi 55 % a Kršiakovi 32,5 %. Stávkové kancelárie dávajú Hattasovi pravdepodobnosť výhry približne 75 až 80 %.",
   "sources": [
    "https://spravy.stvr.sk/2026/10/kandidati-na-primatora-nitra-komunalne-volby-2026/",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx ; turnout/registered/valid: https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/vw0vYr2/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-primatora-mesta-nitra-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.topky.sk/cl/2005799/9525965/Komunalne-volby-2026---Nitra--kandidati-na-primatora--poslanci-a-vysledky",
    "https://www.topky.sk/cl/2005799/9525965/Komunalne-volby-2026---Nitra--kandidati-na-primatora--poslanci-a-vysledky (cites ŠÚ SR); valid_votes = sum of candidate votes"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Marek Hattas",
     "party": "Tím kraj Nitra - združenie kandidátov Nitrianskeho kraja, Progresívne Slovensko, KDH, Sloboda a solidarita, Demokrati, Hnutie Slovensko, Občianska konzervatívna strana",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 50.8,
     "mean": 50.7,
     "lo80": 32.0,
     "hi80": 69.1,
     "p_win": 0.7717,
     "p_win_blind": 0.7612,
     "p_win_market": 0.7436,
     "fund_share": 45.0,
     "fund_p_win": 0.6091,
     "swing": 0.048,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.308
    },
    {
     "name": "Igor Kršiak",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 30.7,
     "mean": 31.9,
     "lo80": 16.8,
     "hi80": 48.9,
     "p_win": 0.2168,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2361,
     "p_win_market": 0.1886,
     "fund_share": 20.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.2296,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.272
    },
    {
     "name": "Zuzana Uhríková",
     "party": "Republika, Slovenská národná strana",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 7.9,
     "mean": 9.0,
     "lo80": 3.8,
     "hi80": 15.6,
     "p_win": 0.0019,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0014,
     "p_win_market": 0.0025,
     "fund_share": 10.6,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0874,
     "swing": 0.041,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Marek Illéš",
     "party": "Smer - sociálna demokracia, Hlas - sociálna demokracia, Sme rodina",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 7.3,
     "mean": 8.3,
     "lo80": 3.4,
     "hi80": 14.5,
     "p_win": 0.0096,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0013,
     "p_win_market": 0.0661,
     "fund_share": 9.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0738,
     "swing": -0.134,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mesto-presov",
   "name": "Prešov",
   "office": "primator",
   "group": "mesto",
   "voters": 70029,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "František Oľha",
    "since": 2022,
    "party_2022": "SaS, PS, SPOLU, DS, ŠANCA, ODS, Dobrá voľba a Umiernení",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 42.66,
     "registered_voters": 70029,
     "valid_votes": 29344,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "František Oľha",
       "party": "SaS, Progresívne Slovensko, SPOLU, DS, ŠANCA, ODS - Občianski demokrati Slovenska, DOBRÁ VOĽBA a Umiernení",
       "votes": 10934,
       "pct": 37.26,
       "ballot_no": 11,
       "elected": true
      },
      {
       "name": "Pavel Hagyari",
       "party": "STAROSTOVIA A NEZÁVISLÍ KANDIDÁTI, SME RODINA",
       "votes": 6853,
       "pct": 23.35,
       "ballot_no": 7,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Ľuboš Micheľ",
       "party": "Hlas - sociálna demokracia",
       "votes": 3419,
       "pct": 11.65,
       "ballot_no": 10,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Artúr Benes",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3290,
       "pct": 11.21,
       "ballot_no": 4,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Zuzana Bednárová",
       "party": "KDH",
       "votes": 1655,
       "pct": 5.63,
       "ballot_no": 2,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Andrejko",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1461,
       "pct": 4.97,
       "ballot_no": 1,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Eštočák",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 546,
       "pct": 1.86,
       "ballot_no": 6,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Marek Kurta",
       "party": "REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 360,
       "pct": 1.22,
       "ballot_no": 9,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Štovka",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 292,
       "pct": 0.99,
       "ballot_no": 12,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Renáta Bobáková",
       "party": "Hnutie ONÁS",
       "votes": 211,
       "pct": 0.71,
       "ballot_no": 5,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Patrik Benčík",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 210,
       "pct": 0.71,
       "ballot_no": 3,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Jozef Kubica",
       "party": "NK/NEKA",
       "votes": 113,
       "pct": 0.38,
       "ballot_no": 8,
       "elected": false
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
     "note": "ŠÚ SR definitive results. valid_votes = valid mayoral ballots; pct as published by ŠÚ SR (share of valid ballots). Entries with withdrew=true were marked X (vzdal sa / zrušená kandidatúra) by ŠÚ SR; their votes are included in the published totals."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 43.2,
     "registered_voters": 72521,
     "valid_votes": 31060,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Andrea Turčanová",
       "party": "KDH, OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti (OĽANO), NOVA",
       "votes": 14205,
       "pct": 45.73,
       "ballot_no": 7,
       "elected": true
      },
      {
       "name": "Pavel Hagyari",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 8921,
       "pct": 28.72,
       "ballot_no": 5,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Richard Drutarovský",
       "party": "SPOLU, Progresívne Slovensko, OKS",
       "votes": 2648,
       "pct": 8.52,
       "ballot_no": 2,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Miroslav Benko",
       "party": "SMER-SD, SNS, MOST - HÍD",
       "votes": 2560,
       "pct": 8.24,
       "ballot_no": 1,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "František Oľha",
       "party": "SaS, SME RODINA - Boris Kollár, ŠANCA, DS",
       "votes": 2360,
       "pct": 7.59,
       "ballot_no": 6,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Stanislav Grega",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 233,
       "pct": 0.75,
       "ballot_no": 4,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Igor Dužda",
       "party": "SRK",
       "votes": 133,
       "pct": 0.42,
       "ballot_no": 3,
       "elected": false
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
     "note": "ŠÚ SR definitive results. valid_votes = valid mayoral ballots; pct as published by ŠÚ SR (share of valid ballots). Entries with withdrew=true were marked X (vzdal sa / zrušená kandidatúra) by ŠÚ SR; their votes are included in the published totals."
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "NMS Market Research (CAPI)",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-16",
     "n": 510,
     "sponsor": "commissioned by candidate František Oľha (internal poll released by his campaign; paid article)",
     "results": {
      "František Oľha": 46.0,
      "Pavel Hagyari": 30.0,
      "Rastislav Mochnacký": 11.0,
      "Artúr Benes": 5.0,
      "Svetlana Pavlovičová": 5.0,
      "Martin Eštočák": 4.0
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.presovak.sk/clanky/15886/novy-prieskum-v-presove-poradie-favoritov-na-primatora-sa-meni",
     "partisan": true
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "František Oľha": 1.08,
      "Rastislav Mochnacký": 5.0,
      "Pavel Hagyari": 8.0,
      "Svetlana Pavlovičová": 40.0,
      "Martin Eštočák": 60.0,
      "Artúr Benes": 100.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-presova-2026/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "František Oľha": 1.05,
      "Rastislav Mochnacký": 7.0,
      "Pavel Hagyari": 8.0,
      "Martin Eštočák": 15.0,
      "Svetlana Pavlovičová": 25.0,
      "Artúr Benes": 40.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "František Oľha": 1.1,
      "Rastislav Mochnacký": 5.5,
      "Pavel Hagyari": 5.0,
      "Svetlana Pavlovičová": 12.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-krajske-mesta/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Polymarket (prediction market, implied probability %, not decimal odds)",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "František Oľha": 84.5,
      "Rastislav Mochnacký": 11.7,
      "Pavel Hagyari": 3.3
     },
     "source": "https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/presov-mayoral-election-winner-2026/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.685,
    "poll_sd": 0.095,
    "n_polls": 1
   },
   "notes": "Primátor František Oľha (PS, Demokrati, DS) vyhral v roku 2022 s 37,26 %. Pavel Hagyari, primátor v rokoch 2006 až 2014, skončil druhý v rokoch 2014, 2018 aj 2022 a teraz kandiduje ako nezávislý. Rastislava Mochnackého nominujú KDH, SaS, Hnutie Slovensko a ďalšie strany, Svetlanu Pavlovičovú Smer, SNS, Sme rodina a Bratia Slovenska; Hlas a Republika nepodporili nikoho. Prieskum NMS, ktorý zverejnil Oľhov tím, mu dáva 46 %, Hagyarimu 30 % a Mochnackému 11 %. Stávkové kancelárie dávajú na Oľhu kurz 1,08 až 1,10 a Tipsport aj Polymarket uvádzajú ako druhého Mochnackého.",
   "sources": [
    "https://oznamypresov.sk/download/10648",
    "https://sita.sk/presov-pozna-kandidatov-na-primatora-aj-zupana-o-kreslo-v-krajskom-zastupitelstve-zabojuje-476-ludi/",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/PQR3sHF/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-primatora-mesta-presov-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/W8n9gmb/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-primatorov-krajskych-miest-vo-volbach-2026/"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "František Oľha",
     "party": "Progresívne Slovensko, Demokrati, Demokratická strana - občianski demokrati Slovenska",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 40.0,
     "mean": 40.7,
     "lo80": 23.1,
     "hi80": 59.4,
     "p_win": 0.7307,
     "p_win_blind": 0.7313,
     "p_win_market": 0.6917,
     "fund_share": 28.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.4673,
     "swing": 0.139,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.3726
    },
    {
     "name": "Pavel Hagyari",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 23.6,
     "mean": 25.2,
     "lo80": 12.1,
     "hi80": 40.7,
     "p_win": 0.2093,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2411,
     "p_win_market": 0.1711,
     "fund_share": 11.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1447,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.2335
    },
    {
     "name": "Rastislav Mochnacký",
     "party": "KDH, Hnutie Slovensko, SaS, Konzervatívci - kresťanská únia, Za ľudí, Nova",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 10.7,
     "mean": 12.0,
     "lo80": 5.0,
     "hi80": 20.6,
     "p_win": 0.0496,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0193,
     "p_win_market": 0.1159,
     "fund_share": 9.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.105,
     "swing": -0.001,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Artúr Benes",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 7.0,
     "mean": 8.0,
     "lo80": 3.3,
     "hi80": 13.9,
     "p_win": 0.002,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0032,
     "p_win_market": 0.0012,
     "fund_share": 10.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1133,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.1121
    },
    {
     "name": "Svetlana Pavlovičová",
     "party": "Smer - sociálna demokracia, Slovenská národná strana, Sme rodina, Bratia Slovenska",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 6.3,
     "mean": 7.3,
     "lo80": 2.8,
     "hi80": 13.1,
     "p_win": 0.0048,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0029,
     "p_win_market": 0.0077,
     "fund_share": 8.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.082,
     "swing": -0.065,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Martin Eštočák",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 5.9,
     "mean": 6.8,
     "lo80": 2.7,
     "hi80": 12.1,
     "p_win": 0.0036,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0022,
     "p_win_market": 0.0056,
     "fund_share": 8.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0877,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0186
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mesto-trnava",
   "name": "Trnava",
   "office": "primator",
   "group": "mesto",
   "voters": 52921,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Peter Bročka",
    "since": 2014,
    "party_2022": "NEKA",
    "running_2026": false
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 41.87,
     "registered_voters": 52921,
     "valid_votes": 21621,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Peter Bročka",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 9665,
       "pct": 44.7,
       "ballot_no": 3,
       "elected": true
      },
      {
       "name": "Branislav Baroš",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 7269,
       "pct": 33.62,
       "ballot_no": 1,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Matej Lančarič",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2609,
       "pct": 12.06,
       "ballot_no": 5,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Marián Galbavý",
       "party": "SaS, SME RODINA, ODS - Občianski demokrati Slovenska, ŠANCA",
       "votes": 1741,
       "pct": 8.05,
       "ballot_no": 4,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Zdenko Rosina",
       "party": "NK/NEKA",
       "votes": 246,
       "pct": 1.13,
       "ballot_no": 6,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Zuzana Bošnáková",
       "party": "KDH, ZA ĽUDÍ, Kresťanská únia",
       "votes": 91,
       "pct": 0.42,
       "ballot_no": 2,
       "elected": false,
       "withdrew": true
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
     "note": "ŠÚ SR definitive results. valid_votes = valid mayoral ballots; pct as published by ŠÚ SR (share of valid ballots). Entries with withdrew=true were marked X (vzdal sa / zrušená kandidatúra) by ŠÚ SR; their votes are included in the published totals."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 37.74,
     "registered_voters": 54375,
     "valid_votes": 20265,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Peter Bročka",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 12731,
       "pct": 62.82,
       "ballot_no": 1,
       "elected": true
      },
      {
       "name": "Rastislav Mráz",
       "party": "KDH, SZS, SDKÚ-DS",
       "votes": 3349,
       "pct": 16.52,
       "ballot_no": 3,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Marián Galbavý",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 1560,
       "pct": 7.69,
       "ballot_no": 2,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Igor Válek",
       "party": "SMER-SD, SNS",
       "votes": 1170,
       "pct": 5.77,
       "ballot_no": 7,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Tomeček",
       "party": "NÁRODNÁ KOALÍCIA",
       "votes": 839,
       "pct": 4.14,
       "ballot_no": 6,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Vanesa Šteinerová",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 357,
       "pct": 1.76,
       "ballot_no": 5,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Ondrejka",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 246,
       "pct": 1.21,
       "ballot_no": 4,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Stanislav Žigmund",
       "party": "SRK",
       "votes": 13,
       "pct": 0.06,
       "ballot_no": 8,
       "elected": false,
       "withdrew": true
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
     "note": "ŠÚ SR definitive results. valid_votes = valid mayoral ballots; pct as published by ŠÚ SR (share of valid ballots). Entries with withdrew=true were marked X (vzdal sa / zrušená kandidatúra) by ŠÚ SR; their votes are included in the published totals."
    }
   },
   "polls": [
    {
     "pollster": "Katedra sociológie Trnavskej univerzity (student fieldwork)",
     "fieldwork_end": "2026-10-08",
     "n": 1111,
     "sponsor": "published by Mestská televízia Trnava",
     "results": {
      "Branislav Baroš": 32.4,
      "Eva Nemčovská": 31.9,
      "Ľubica Horváthová": 12.4,
      "Andrea Čajková": 8.8,
      "Martin Pullmann": 7.6,
      "Jozef Obselka": 6.9
     },
     "others_pct": null,
     "source": "https://www.finreport.sk/agenturne-spravy/v-trnave-sa-vo-volbach-primatora-rozhodne-medzi-barosom-a-nemcovskou-suboj-bude-podla-vysledkov-prieskumu-tesny/",
     "partisan": false
    }
   ],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Eva Nemčovská": 1.45,
      "Branislav Baroš": 2.45,
      "Martin Pullmann": 10.0,
      "Andrea Čajková": 18.0,
      "Jozef Obselka": 50.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-trnavy-2026/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Eva Nemčovská": 1.45,
      "Branislav Baroš": 2.5,
      "Martin Pullmann": 10.0,
      "Andrea Čajková": 20.0,
      "Jozef Obselka": 50.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Eva Nemčovská": 1.45,
      "Branislav Baroš": 2.2,
      "Martin Pullmann": 8.0,
      "Andrea Čajková": 15.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-krajske-mesta/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": {
    "weight": 0.792,
    "poll_sd": 0.072,
    "n_polls": 1
   },
   "notes": "Primátor Peter Bročka po troch obdobiach nekandiduje; v roku 2022 porazil Branislava Baroša (Trnava pre každého, KDH), ktorý získal 33,62 %. Viceprimátorku Evu Nemčovskú podporujú PS a od 9. októbra aj Demokrati, ktorých kandidátka Ľubica Horváthová v jej prospech odstúpila. Prieskum Trnavskej univerzity pred odstúpením dával Barošovi 32,4 %, Nemčovskej 31,9 % a Horváthovej 12,4 %. Stávkové kancelárie považujú za favoritku Nemčovskú (kurz 1,45 až 1,65 oproti 1,90 až 2,45 pre Baroša). Martin Pullmann je kandidátom Smeru, Hlasu, SNS a Republiky.",
   "sources": [
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/W8n9gmb/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-primatorov-krajskych-miest-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://www.trnava.sk/content/files/Volby/komunlne_volby_2026/kandidati_vzdanie_sa_kandidatury.pdf",
    "https://www.trnava.sk/content/files/Volby/komunlne_volby_2026/komunalne_volby2026_zoznam-kandidatov_prim.pdf",
    "https://www.trnavskyhlas.sk/c/42611-kto-kandiduje-vo-volbach-trnave-prinasame-kompletny-zoznam-uchadzacov-o-hlasy/"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [
    {
     "name": "Ľubica Horváthová",
     "transfer_to": "Eva Nemčovská"
    }
   ],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Eva Nemčovská",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 35.7,
     "mean": 36.5,
     "lo80": 22.4,
     "hi80": 51.6,
     "p_win": 0.5964,
     "p_win_blind": 0.5645,
     "p_win_market": 0.6084,
     "fund_share": 17.5,
     "fund_p_win": 0.2361,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Branislav Baroš",
     "party": "Trnava pre každého, KDH - kresťanskodemokratické hnutie",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "opp",
     "share": 31.8,
     "mean": 32.7,
     "lo80": 19.1,
     "hi80": 47.7,
     "p_win": 0.3734,
     "p_win_blind": 0.4233,
     "p_win_market": 0.3146,
     "fund_share": 19.7,
     "fund_p_win": 0.2793,
     "swing": 0.02,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.3362
    },
    {
     "name": "Andrea Čajková",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 10.8,
     "mean": 11.7,
     "lo80": 6.0,
     "hi80": 18.8,
     "p_win": 0.0126,
     "p_win_blind": 0.007,
     "p_win_market": 0.0218,
     "fund_share": 13.6,
     "fund_p_win": 0.16,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Martin Pullmann",
     "party": "Smer - sociálna demokracia, Hlas - sociálna demokracia, Slovenská národná strana, Republika",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": "gov",
     "share": 9.6,
     "mean": 10.5,
     "lo80": 5.1,
     "hi80": 17.1,
     "p_win": 0.0151,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0042,
     "p_win_market": 0.0511,
     "fund_share": 13.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1583,
     "swing": -0.03,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Jozef Obselka",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 7.7,
     "mean": 8.5,
     "lo80": 4.2,
     "hi80": 13.8,
     "p_win": 0.0025,
     "p_win_blind": 0.001,
     "p_win_market": 0.0061,
     "fund_share": 13.8,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1662,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": -0.5,
     "adj_reason": "Bez verejného profilu (vedúci spoločnosti, prvá kandidatúra, žiadna funkcia ani strana).",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mesto-trencin",
   "name": "Trenčín",
   "office": "primator",
   "group": "mesto",
   "voters": 46201,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Richard Rybníček",
    "since": 2010,
    "party_2022": "NEKA",
    "running_2026": false
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 37,
     "registered_voters": 46201,
     "valid_votes": 16339,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Richard Rybníček",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 11918,
       "pct": 72.94,
       "ballot_no": 2,
       "elected": true
      },
      {
       "name": "Miloš Mičega",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 4421,
       "pct": 27.05,
       "ballot_no": 1,
       "elected": false
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
     "note": "ŠÚ SR definitive results. valid_votes = valid mayoral ballots; pct as published by ŠÚ SR (share of valid ballots). Entries with withdrew=true were marked X (vzdal sa / zrušená kandidatúra) by ŠÚ SR; their votes are included in the published totals."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 42.03,
     "registered_voters": 46803,
     "valid_votes": 19135,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Richard Rybníček",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 13855,
       "pct": 72.4,
       "ballot_no": 3,
       "elected": true
      },
      {
       "name": "Miloš Mičega",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 5228,
       "pct": 27.32,
       "ballot_no": 2,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Ľubomír Žabár",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 36,
       "pct": 0.18,
       "ballot_no": 4,
       "elected": false,
       "withdrew": true
      },
      {
       "name": "Danica Birošová",
       "party": "DOMA DOBRE",
       "votes": 16,
       "pct": 0.08,
       "ballot_no": 1,
       "elected": false,
       "withdrew": true
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
     "note": "ŠÚ SR definitive results. valid_votes = valid mayoral ballots; pct as published by ŠÚ SR (share of valid ballots). Entries with withdrew=true were marked X (vzdal sa / zrušená kandidatúra) by ŠÚ SR; their votes are included in the published totals."
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Ján Forgáč": 1.1,
      "Miloš Mičega": 6.0,
      "Danica Birošová": 20.0,
      "Michal Bratranec": 30.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-trencina-2026/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Ján Forgáč": 1.08,
      "Miloš Mičega": 7.0,
      "Danica Birošová": 18.0,
      "Michal Bratranec": 30.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Ján Forgáč": 1.13,
      "Miloš Mičega": 4.5,
      "Danica Birošová": 17.0,
      "Michal Bratranec": 20.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-krajske-mesta/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Primátor Richard Rybníček po 16 rokoch nekandiduje a podporuje svojho prvého viceprimátora Jána Forgáča. Hlavný vyzývateľ Miloš Mičega bol v rokoch 2018 a 2022 druhý s 27,32 % a 27,05 %. Danica Birošová, ktorá v rokoch 2018 a 2022 odstúpila v prospech Mičegu, tentoraz podľa vlastných slov neodstúpi. Všetci štyria kandidáti sú nezávislí a žiadna strana nikoho nenominovala. Stávkové kancelárie dávajú na Forgáča kurz 1,10 až 1,19 a na Mičegu 4,0 až 6,0.",
   "sources": [
    "https://my.sme.sk/trencin/c/kandidati-na-primatora-mesta-trencin-2026-kompletny-zoznam-a-profily-komunalne-volby-2026",
    "https://trencin.sk/aktuality/pozname-mena-kandidatov-a-kandidatok-na-primatorsky-post-a-do-mestskeho-zastupitelstva/",
    "https://trencin.sk/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Zoznam-zaregistrovanych-kandidatov-pre-volby-primatora-mesta-Trencin-1.pdf",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Ján Forgáč",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 33.5,
     "mean": 36.6,
     "lo80": 10.6,
     "hi80": 67.9,
     "p_win": 0.7272,
     "p_win_blind": 0.4482,
     "p_win_market": 0.8746,
     "fund_share": 19.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.2399,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.6,
     "adj_reason": "Prvý viceprimátor od 2014, ktorého podporuje odchádzajúci primátor Rybníček (16 rokov vo funkcii, v roku 2022 získal 72,94 %). Model má o ňom len údaj, že je miestny funkcionár.",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Miloš Mičega",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 24.1,
     "mean": 28.4,
     "lo80": 6.9,
     "hi80": 57.1,
     "p_win": 0.1788,
     "p_win_blind": 0.2956,
     "p_win_market": 0.0946,
     "fund_share": 26.4,
     "fund_p_win": 0.348,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.2705
    },
    {
     "name": "Danica Birošová",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 18.1,
     "mean": 22.8,
     "lo80": 4.9,
     "hi80": 48.5,
     "p_win": 0.0669,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1991,
     "p_win_market": 0.0189,
     "fund_share": 19.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.2394,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Michal Bratranec",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 8.4,
     "mean": 12.2,
     "lo80": 2.1,
     "hi80": 27.8,
     "p_win": 0.0271,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0571,
     "p_win_market": 0.0118,
     "fund_share": 15.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1727,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": -0.5,
     "adj_reason": "Bez verejného profilu (šofér, 20 rokov v zahraničí, prvá kandidatúra).",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "id": "mesto-zilina",
   "name": "Žilina",
   "office": "primator",
   "group": "mesto",
   "voters": 69091,
   "incumbent": {
    "name": "Peter Fiabáne",
    "since": 2018,
    "party_2022": "NEKA",
    "running_2026": true
   },
   "history": {
    "2022": {
     "turnout_pct": 38.16,
     "registered_voters": 69091,
     "valid_votes": 25595,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Peter Fiabáne",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 11654,
       "pct": 45.53,
       "ballot_no": 4,
       "elected": true
      },
      {
       "name": "Patrik Groma",
       "party": "Hlas - sociálna demokracia, KDH",
       "votes": 4866,
       "pct": 19.01,
       "ballot_no": 5,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Peter Cibulka",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3970,
       "pct": 15.51,
       "ballot_no": 3,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Pavol Slota",
       "party": "DOMOV-NS",
       "votes": 2723,
       "pct": 10.63,
       "ballot_no": 7,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Rzeszoto",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 981,
       "pct": 3.83,
       "ballot_no": 6,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Silvia Bakkery",
       "party": "REPUBLIKA",
       "votes": 668,
       "pct": 2.6,
       "ballot_no": 1,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Štefan Zelník",
       "party": "ŽIVOT",
       "votes": 276,
       "pct": 1.07,
       "ballot_no": 8,
       "elected": false,
       "withdrew": true
      },
      {
       "name": "Daniela Zemanová",
       "party": "Hnutie ONÁS",
       "votes": 273,
       "pct": 1.06,
       "ballot_no": 9,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Timotej Bernhauser",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 184,
       "pct": 0.71,
       "ballot_no": 2,
       "elected": false
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
     "note": "ŠÚ SR definitive results. valid_votes = valid mayoral ballots; pct as published by ŠÚ SR (share of valid ballots). Entries with withdrew=true were marked X (vzdal sa / zrušená kandidatúra) by ŠÚ SR; their votes are included in the published totals."
    },
    "2018": {
     "turnout_pct": 41.3,
     "registered_voters": 70771,
     "valid_votes": 28872,
     "results": [
      {
       "name": "Peter Fiabáne",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 13876,
       "pct": 48.06,
       "ballot_no": 1,
       "elected": true
      },
      {
       "name": "Patrik Groma",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 7142,
       "pct": 24.73,
       "ballot_no": 2,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Martin Kapitulík",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 3754,
       "pct": 13,
       "ballot_no": 6,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Ľudmila Chodelková",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 2548,
       "pct": 8.82,
       "ballot_no": 4,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Ján Púček",
       "party": "ĽS Naše Slovensko",
       "votes": 917,
       "pct": 3.17,
       "ballot_no": 7,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Tibor Hanuliak",
       "party": "SNS",
       "votes": 325,
       "pct": 1.12,
       "ballot_no": 3,
       "elected": false
      },
      {
       "name": "Marian Janušek",
       "party": "NEKA",
       "votes": 310,
       "pct": 1.07,
       "ballot_no": 5,
       "elected": false
      }
     ],
     "source": "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
     "note": "ŠÚ SR definitive results. valid_votes = valid mayoral ballots; pct as published by ŠÚ SR (share of valid ballots). Entries with withdrew=true were marked X (vzdal sa / zrušená kandidatúra) by ŠÚ SR; their votes are included in the published totals."
    }
   },
   "polls": [],
   "odds": [
    {
     "bookmaker": "Tipsport",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Peter Fiabáne": 1.2,
      "Rastislav Johanes": 4.0,
      "Peter Cibulka": 15.0,
      "Michal Milo": 40.0,
      "Ivan Magát": 45.0,
      "Miroslav Sokol": 45.0,
      "Bohumil Kostolný": 50.0,
      "Anton Kozlík": 50.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "Fortuna",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Peter Fiabáne": 1.2,
      "Rastislav Johanes": 4.0,
      "Peter Cibulka": 15.0,
      "Anton Kozlík": 40.0,
      "Miroslav Sokol": 50.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kurzy-na-volby/"
    },
    {
     "bookmaker": "DOXXbet",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "odds": {
      "Peter Fiabáne": 1.18,
      "Rastislav Johanes": 4.0,
      "Peter Cibulka": 10.0,
      "Miroslav Sokol": 30.0,
      "Anton Kozlík": 40.0
     },
     "source": "https://stavkynavolby.sk/informacie/kandidati-na-primatora-krajske-mesta/"
    }
   ],
   "poll_info": null,
   "notes": "Primátor Peter Fiabáne vyhral v rokoch 2018 (48,06 %) a 2022 (45,53 %), kandiduje ako nezávislý s podporou PS, SaS, KDH a Demokratov a uviedol, že ide o jeho poslednú kandidatúru. Hlavnými vyzývateľmi sú chirurg a krajský poslanec Rastislav Johanes a Peter Cibulka, ktorý bol v roku 2022 tretí s 15,51 %. Hlas, Smer, SNS a Domov kandidáta na primátora nemajú, Republika nominovala Michala Mila. Kurz na Fiabáneho sa od augusta zmenil z 1,04 na 1,18 až 1,20 a na Johanesa zo 7,0 na 3,8 až 4,0.",
   "sources": [
    "https://hnonline.sk/volby-2026/komunalne-volby-2026/96307650-komunalne-volby-2026-zilina-zoznam-kandidatov-primator-a-poslanci",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab05.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2018/files/xlsx/OSO_2018_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
    "https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab05d.xlsx (candidates) + https://volby.statistics.sk/oso/oso2022/files/xlsx/OSO2022_SK_tab02bd.xlsx (turnout/registered)",
    "https://www.aktuality.sk/clanok/uBDJaIF/kompletny-zoznam-kandidatov-na-primatora-mesta-zilina-vo-volbach-2026/",
    "https://zilina.sk/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Zoznam-zaregistrovanych-kandidatov-pre-volby-primatora-mesta-Zilina.pdf"
   ],
   "withdrawn": [],
   "candidates": [
    {
     "name": "Peter Fiabáne",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": true,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 30.1,
     "mean": 33.2,
     "lo80": 9.9,
     "hi80": 61.8,
     "p_win": 0.7134,
     "p_win_blind": 0.5517,
     "p_win_market": 0.7899,
     "fund_share": 26.6,
     "fund_p_win": 0.5046,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.4553
    },
    {
     "name": "Peter Cibulka",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 10.2,
     "mean": 14.0,
     "lo80": 2.8,
     "hi80": 30.5,
     "p_win": 0.0684,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1262,
     "p_win_market": 0.0329,
     "fund_share": 8.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.1074,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.1551
    },
    {
     "name": "Anton Kozlík",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 8.9,
     "mean": 12.4,
     "lo80": 2.4,
     "hi80": 27.4,
     "p_win": 0.0278,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1003,
     "p_win_market": 0.0067,
     "fund_share": 7.9,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0864,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Rastislav Johanes",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 8.8,
     "mean": 12.4,
     "lo80": 2.4,
     "hi80": 27.4,
     "p_win": 0.1316,
     "p_win_blind": 0.1002,
     "p_win_market": 0.157,
     "fund_share": 7.8,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0873,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": true,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Michal Milo",
     "party": "Republika",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 6.1,
     "mean": 8.8,
     "lo80": 1.6,
     "hi80": 19.5,
     "p_win": 0.0201,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0495,
     "p_win_market": 0.0073,
     "fund_share": 5.3,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0425,
     "swing": 0.118,
     "adj": 0.0,
     "adj_reason": null,
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Bohumil Kostolný",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 4.2,
     "mean": 6.4,
     "lo80": 1.1,
     "hi80": 14.4,
     "p_win": 0.0117,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0228,
     "p_win_market": 0.0055,
     "fund_share": 6.1,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0572,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": -0.5,
     "adj_reason": "Bez verejného profilu (predčasný dôchodca, bez komunálnej histórie).",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Ivan Magát",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 4.2,
     "mean": 6.4,
     "lo80": 1.1,
     "hi80": 14.5,
     "p_win": 0.0131,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0248,
     "p_win_market": 0.0063,
     "fund_share": 6.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0587,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": -0.5,
     "adj_reason": "Bez verejného profilu (prvá kandidatúra, bez funkcie).",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    },
    {
     "name": "Miroslav Sokol",
     "party": "NEKA",
     "inc": false,
     "bloc": null,
     "share": 4.2,
     "mean": 6.4,
     "lo80": 1.1,
     "hi80": 14.4,
     "p_win": 0.0139,
     "p_win_blind": 0.0244,
     "p_win_market": 0.0072,
     "fund_share": 6.2,
     "fund_p_win": 0.0559,
     "swing": 0.0,
     "adj": -0.5,
     "adj_reason": "Bez verejného profilu (prvá kandidatúra, bez funkcie).",
     "exec_office": false,
     "local_official": false,
     "prev_share": 0.0
    }
   ]
  }
 ]
}